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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

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Posts: 1710

Re: andrea heading out
Wed May 16 2007 02:16 AM

I agree that it'll be interesting to see what they do in the post-analysis and I also agree that you can make the case for adding some regeneration time to the end. But, operationally, unless it is a threat to someone, the NHC generally will be very slow in bringing a storm back -- particularly something that is not 100% clear cut.

I agree with their assessment in the first two days or so after declassification, even when it had one persistent convective flare-up. There wasn't any organization to the convection then and, despite other classified storms looking worse at times, it had already been declassified and thus they had nothing to hang on to. It's the last day or so where the question lies, in my mind, on whether it gets a posthumous upgrade or not. Banding improved, the structure improved, and it was a close call. But, alas, it also was starting to head out to sea.

I would not be surprised to that last day added on to Andrea's lifecycle -- not unlike how the unnamed subtropical storm was added as it accelerated northeast -- but having said that, I also agree with how they handled it operationally. Alas, it's not a bad debate to have for May.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone? No	MikeC	Wed May 16 2007 02:16 AM
Re: Hurricane Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday correction	madmumbler	Fri May 18 2007 03:28 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	MikeC	Thu May 17 2007 11:21 AM
Guidance	Ed Dunham	Thu May 17 2007 04:34 AM
Re:Future bahamas event	Clark	Thu May 17 2007 03:23 AM
Re:Site Rules and Forum Usage	Storm Cooper	Thu May 17 2007 01:56 AM
Re:Future bahamas event	FLGuy	Thu May 17 2007 01:08 AM
Re:Future bahamas event	madmumbler	Thu May 17 2007 12:49 AM
Re:Future bahamas event	FLGuy	Wed May 16 2007 11:35 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	FLGuy	Wed May 16 2007 10:57 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	madmumbler	Wed May 16 2007 09:22 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	Clark	Wed May 16 2007 07:55 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	cieldumort	Wed May 16 2007 07:48 PM
Re: andrea heading out	doug	Wed May 16 2007 06:55 PM
Re:Future bahamas event	rmbjoe1954	Wed May 16 2007 06:54 PM
Re: andrea heading out	Ed in Va	Wed May 16 2007 06:07 PM
Re: andrea heading out	cieldumort	Wed May 16 2007 05:58 PM
Re: andrea heading out	doug	Wed May 16 2007 05:29 PM
Re: andrea heading out	Psyber	Wed May 16 2007 02:39 PM
Re: andrea heading out	Clark	Wed May 16 2007 02:16 AM
Re: The week(s) ahead	NewWatcher	Tue May 15 2007 12:38 PM
The week(s) ahead	danielw	Tue May 15 2007 01:42 AM
Re: andrea heading out	cieldumort	Mon May 14 2007 03:33 AM
Re: andrea heading out	HanKFranK	Mon May 14 2007 02:40 AM
Re: andrea heading out	Clark	Sun May 13 2007 04:56 PM
Re: andrea heading out	Rich B	Sun May 13 2007 04:52 PM
Re: andrea heading out	Ed Dunham	Sun May 13 2007 03:58 PM
Re: andrea heading out	cieldumort	Sun May 13 2007 03:32 PM
Re: andrea heading out	HanKFranK	Sun May 13 2007 02:05 PM
Re: andrea heading out	cieldumort	Sun May 13 2007 05:13 AM
andrea heading out	HanKFranK	Sun May 13 2007 04:26 AM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sun May 13 2007 01:20 AM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Clark	Sat May 12 2007 11:33 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Ed Dunham	Sat May 12 2007 06:49 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	scottsvb	Sat May 12 2007 04:00 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 03:48 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Clark	Sat May 12 2007 03:40 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 03:40 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Rich B	Sat May 12 2007 03:35 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 03:28 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	allan	Sat May 12 2007 03:06 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 03:04 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Rabbit	Sat May 12 2007 03:03 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	cieldumort	Sat May 12 2007 02:55 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Rabbit	Sat May 12 2007 02:33 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 02:32 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	madmumbler	Sat May 12 2007 02:23 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Sat May 12 2007 01:44 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	cieldumort	Sat May 12 2007 01:41 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Rich B	Sat May 12 2007 06:31 AM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	h2ocean	Sat May 12 2007 02:21 AM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Storm Hunter	Sat May 12 2007 01:58 AM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	rmbjoe1954	Fri May 11 2007 11:48 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Hugh	Fri May 11 2007 10:47 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Storm Hunter	Fri May 11 2007 10:32 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Bloodstar	Fri May 11 2007 09:57 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	dem05	Fri May 11 2007 09:46 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	Rich B	Fri May 11 2007 09:15 PM
Re: Andrea Remnants will it Reform as a Tropical Cyclone?	WeatherNLU	Fri May 11 2007 09:12 PM

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