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Invest 97L has dropped to 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. Watching as it rapidly moves west over the Atlantic.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 331 (Nicholas) , Major: 346 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1400 (Michael) Major: 1400 (Michael)
 


General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Key West NWS Update
      Thu May 24 2007 11:20 PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1015 PM EDT THU MAY 24 2007

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
AN OPPORTUNE SATELLITE QUIKSCAT PASS OVERHEAD OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AT 714 PM EDT SENSED ENE WINDS 25-28 KT OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND 25 KT OVER GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER KEYS. THIS IS AS FORECAST.
A COUPLE OF SHIP REPORTS AT 00Z IN THE STRAITS INDICATED ENE WINDS 32 AND 33 KT...BUT THESE WERE AT TOP-OF-SHIP ANEMOMETER HEIGHTS.
SEA HEIGHTS WERE REPORTED 10-13 FT OUT IN THE GULF STREAM. WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW DUE TO LARGE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE CAPE HATTERAS (1030 MB) WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE STILL EXTENDING SW TO GEORGIA THENCE ALONG THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO COAST. AND...GENERAL LOW PRESSURE (NOT ORGANIZED) REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH 00Z PRESSURES OF 1013 MB AT GRAND CAYMAN...AND LOWER GOING SOUTH
FROM THERE.
LINES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE SEEN ON KEY WEST RADAR ALIGNED WITH THE ENE WINDS...AND MOVING SWIFTLY OVER WATERS OF THE OUTER FLORIDA STRAITS AS WELL AS GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS. PLUS SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS KEEP FORMING IN SMALL LINES NEAR THE KEYS ISLANDS AS WELL.
ON SATELLITE A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS SEEN MOVING EAST QUICKLY TOWARD WESTERN CUBA. SO FAR...THE FEATURE SEEMS MAINLY TO BE CREATING A LARGE AREA OF THICK MID AND HIGH CLOUDS OVER CUBA WHICH ARE DROPPING STRATIFORM RAIN AROUND CONVECTIVE CELLS DOWN THERE.

(bold emphasis added~danielw)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDKEY&max=61

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2007 NOAA outlook is out HCW Thu May 24 2007 11:20 PM
. * * Re: 2007 NOAA outlook is out ftlaudbob   Tue May 22 2007 11:45 AM
. * * Key West NWS Update danielwAdministrator   Thu May 24 2007 11:20 PM

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