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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 274 (Idalia) , Major: 274 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 274 (Idalia) Major: 274 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

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Posts: 1710

Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch
Sun May 27 2007 03:41 AM

Things look pretty interesting for late May down in the Southwest Caribbean...looks like a mid-level circulation has spun up with intermittent deep convection in place; QuikSCAT from yesterday evening even hinted at a weak low level circulation underneath the mid-level feature and the convection. Nice evacuation channel at upper levels into the central Atlantic in association with a weak upper low near the Bahamas and a trough to its northeast. Probably our next "invest" -- NHC's satellite page hints at that already on floater 3, in fact -- over the next day or so.

Most of the models hint at something heading in a general NW fashion over the next 3-5 days or so into the NW Caribbean and southern Gulf of Mexico, with the NAM and the ECMWF being the most bullish at this point. The projected weather patten into late next week is of a trough digging into the eastern United States; if that pans out, the system will generally want to head north and ultimately northeast. How fast something organizes down there -- if it does at all -- will help decide where it ultimately goes and potentially how fast it recurves. People in Florida and inland Georgia should watch this over the next few days, as even if nothing tropical organizes...it looks like it could bring some much needed rains.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	danielw	Sun May 27 2007 03:41 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Thu May 31 2007 01:32 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	cchsweatherman	Thu May 31 2007 12:58 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	HURRICANELONNY	Thu May 31 2007 11:43 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	allan	Thu May 31 2007 11:41 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	GuppieGrouper	Thu May 31 2007 09:41 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	cieldumort	Thu May 31 2007 07:28 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Bloodstar	Thu May 31 2007 06:35 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Clark	Thu May 31 2007 04:26 AM
Re: incipient system?	Hurricane29	Thu May 31 2007 02:58 AM
Re: incipient system?	allan	Thu May 31 2007 02:38 AM
incipient system?	HanKFranK	Thu May 31 2007 02:23 AM
Re: A Couple of Notes	allan	Thu May 31 2007 12:28 AM
A Couple of Notes	Ed Dunham	Wed May 30 2007 11:43 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Ron Basso	Wed May 30 2007 11:33 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Ron Basso	Wed May 30 2007 11:25 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 10:32 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	typhoon_tip	Wed May 30 2007 09:51 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Bloodstar	Wed May 30 2007 09:18 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	allan	Wed May 30 2007 08:55 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	doug	Wed May 30 2007 08:47 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Ron Basso	Wed May 30 2007 07:30 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 07:19 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	scottsvb	Wed May 30 2007 06:29 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 06:17 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	scottsvb	Wed May 30 2007 06:15 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Ron Basso	Wed May 30 2007 06:12 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	madmumbler	Wed May 30 2007 06:11 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Ron Basso	Wed May 30 2007 05:59 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	scottsvb	Wed May 30 2007 05:51 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 05:35 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	scottsvb	Wed May 30 2007 05:29 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	madmumbler	Wed May 30 2007 05:07 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	cchsweatherman	Wed May 30 2007 03:12 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	hurricaneguy	Wed May 30 2007 02:52 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	NewWatcher	Wed May 30 2007 02:33 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 02:12 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	cchsweatherman	Wed May 30 2007 01:48 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	Hurricane29	Wed May 30 2007 01:23 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	allan	Wed May 30 2007 01:18 PM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	flarrfan	Wed May 30 2007 12:59 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hootowl	Wed May 30 2007 11:17 AM
Re: New Area to Watch ???	cieldumort	Wed May 30 2007 09:12 AM
New Area to Watch ???	danielw	Wed May 30 2007 08:24 AM
Afternoon Model Updates-NWS Melbourne,FL	danielw	Wed May 30 2007 01:47 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	MissBecky	Tue May 29 2007 05:59 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Tue May 29 2007 05:35 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	cchsweatherman	Tue May 29 2007 05:33 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Rich B	Tue May 29 2007 04:06 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	madmumbler	Tue May 29 2007 12:10 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	scottsvb	Tue May 29 2007 02:40 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	dem05	Mon May 28 2007 09:23 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	scottsvb	Mon May 28 2007 06:28 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	allan	Mon May 28 2007 05:49 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Hurricane29	Mon May 28 2007 05:40 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	allan	Mon May 28 2007 05:14 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Rich B	Mon May 28 2007 09:18 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	typhoon_tip	Mon May 28 2007 03:30 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	LoisCane	Sun May 27 2007 10:07 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	typhoon_tip	Sun May 27 2007 07:18 PM
Re: i see it Clark but...	allan	Sun May 27 2007 12:57 PM
i see it Clark but...	LoisCane	Sun May 27 2007 12:17 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Clark	Sun May 27 2007 03:41 AM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	HURRICANELONNY	Sat May 26 2007 10:19 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Tony Cristaldi	Sat May 26 2007 10:11 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	cieldumort	Sat May 26 2007 09:54 PM
Quick Update	danielw	Sat May 26 2007 06:33 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Clark	Sat May 26 2007 04:32 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	dem05	Sat May 26 2007 03:45 PM
Re: Memorial Day Weekend Area to Watch	Rich B	Sat May 26 2007 02:16 PM

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