Likely to become a hurricane later today and may undergo Rapid Intensification heading into landfall. Time to rush preps to completion and shelter. #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
312 (Idalia)
, Major:
312 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 312 (Idalia)
Major:
312 (Idalia)
"Thursday night-Sat...significant change in the pattern is expected as the ridge in the western Atlantic breaks down Thursday night-Fri. Meanwhile...broad cyclonic flow in the western Gulf will draw tropical moisture northward towards the state...ultimately resulting in increasing rain changes late this week and early this weekend. NAM-WRF suggests an area of low pressure north of the Yucatan will lift northward through the Gulf...which would produce beneficial rainfall across the forecast area. However...recent trends in the GFS indicate that a track further to the south and east is more likely. This would keep the deep tropical moisture to our south...with only scattered shower activity Friday and Sat as a wave of low pressure tracks across the southern peninsula. It would not be fair to totally rule out a wetter solution at this point as depicted by HPC and the European model (ecmwf)...which takes the low across The Big Bend and northeastward up the southeast coast. Given the anomalous nature of the pattern along with the fact that the event is still a few days out...plan at this point is to only nudge probability of precipitation up slightly from previous forecast."...........
(I'll repeat this request one more time: If you quote an official source, please STATE THE SOURCE in your post. In this case I believe its the NWS MLB Forecast Discussion bulletin.)
0 registered and 300 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 27219
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center