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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 308 (Idalia) , Major: 308 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 308 (Idalia) Major: 308 (Idalia)
16.9N 75.3W
Wind: 145MPH
Pres: 952mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico
      Fri Jun 01 2007 09:52 PM

Well, Barry is looking mighty pathetic tonight. Maybe I bit the bullet a little too soon with my commentary on the models earlier? Not sure. Anyway, it looks like the upper low in the Gulf has decided to move east after all, which is slowly pushing the storm in that direction as well. The general flow is out of the south, but the overall progression of the entire mess to the east is sending the storm on a NE path right now.

As a result, I've gotta back off of my Big Bend/W Cent Florida idea and come down to the Tampa region landfall-wise. This is due to a lack of vertical coherence plus a bit more of an impetus to the upper low to move east. Complicating factors could come if the center does reform closer to the convection, which is still headed for the Big Bend/Cedar Key area, but I don't know how likely that is right now. Hopefully the diurnal convective max gives us some ideas.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 01 2007 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Something? Bloodstar   Mon Jun 04 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Something? ftlaudbob   Mon Jun 04 2007 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Sun Jun 03 2007 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico nc_wx_watcher   Sun Jun 03 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Sun Jun 03 2007 12:51 PM
. * * Secondary Circulation ?? CoconutCandy   Sun Jun 03 2007 07:54 AM
. * * Re:Clark Rich B   Sun Jun 03 2007 07:31 AM
. * * Re:Clark Tony Cristaldi   Sat Jun 02 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico WeatherNut   Sat Jun 02 2007 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Sat Jun 02 2007 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Sat Jun 02 2007 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Sat Jun 02 2007 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico ChessieStorm   Sat Jun 02 2007 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Ronn   Sat Jun 02 2007 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Sat Jun 02 2007 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Sat Jun 02 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Bev   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico swimaway19   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico ChessieStorm   Fri Jun 01 2007 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico swimaway19   Fri Jun 01 2007 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Fri Jun 01 2007 09:52 PM
. * * Area Forecast Dicussion Updates danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 01 2007 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Update h2ocean   Fri Jun 01 2007 09:34 PM
. * * Update danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 01 2007 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Ronn   Fri Jun 01 2007 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hugh   Fri Jun 01 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico CoconutCandy   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hurricane29   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico clueless   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Rich B   Fri Jun 01 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Jun 01 2007 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico jessiej   Fri Jun 01 2007 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico hurricane expert   Fri Jun 01 2007 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico Hurricane29   Fri Jun 01 2007 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Day 1. Tropical Storm Barry Forms in Gulf of Mexico dem05   Fri Jun 01 2007 06:13 PM

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