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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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nc_wx_watcher
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Posts: 14
Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again
      Wed Jun 13 2007 05:29 PM

Since it's already been said about pressures falling in the caribbean it appears that a high is trying to build overhead the NW Caribbean as indicated by the cloud field taking on a more circular appearance. Secondly, the area E of the Bahamas seems to be organising and deep convection is on the increase. Given the proximity of the areas to each other I do not believe that both could develop. If the Bahamas gets going first it will increase shear over the NW Caribbean and inhibit any chance of development there unless it heads off to the NE very quickly. The next 12 to 18 hrs will be interesting to watch especially as surface pressures in the NW Caribbean are relatively low ( 1010.5 here and 1009 to our South at the buoy ). What is any Mets or borad readers take on this scenario?

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Barry Gone, Quiet Again MikeCAdministrator Wed Jun 13 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts BillD   Thu Jun 14 2007 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts BillD   Thu Jun 14 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts Hurricane29   Thu Jun 14 2007 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts audienceofone   Thu Jun 14 2007 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts cieldumort   Thu Jun 14 2007 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Jun 14 2007 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts Hurricane29   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts scottsvb   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts allan   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts Ricreig   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts doug   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Discussion~excerpts nc_wx_watcher   Thu Jun 14 2007 09:10 AM
. * * Tropical Discussion~excerpts danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 13 2007 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again dem05   Wed Jun 13 2007 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again nc_wx_watcher   Wed Jun 13 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again cieldumort   Wed Jun 13 2007 04:35 AM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again typhoon_tip   Wed Jun 13 2007 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again madmumbler   Tue Jun 12 2007 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again Ed in Va   Tue Jun 12 2007 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again typhoon_tip   Tue Jun 12 2007 12:39 AM
. * * Re: geez cieldumort   Mon Jun 11 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: geez doug   Mon Jun 11 2007 10:38 AM
. * * Re: geez cchsweatherman   Mon Jun 11 2007 08:01 AM
. * * Re: geez Hugh   Sun Jun 10 2007 09:58 AM
. * * Re: geez nc_wx_watcher   Sun Jun 10 2007 08:27 AM
. * * Re: geez cieldumort   Sun Jun 10 2007 06:03 AM
. * * Re: geez cieldumort   Sat Jun 09 2007 10:40 PM
. * * geez HanKFranK   Sat Jun 09 2007 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead HanKFranK   Sat Jun 09 2007 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again Cat 5orBust   Sat Jun 09 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jun 09 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead madmumbler   Sat Jun 09 2007 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead cieldumort   Sat Jun 09 2007 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead BillD   Sat Jun 09 2007 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Week Ahead madmumbler   Sat Jun 09 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas madmumbler   Sat Jun 09 2007 09:03 AM
. * * Week Ahead danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 09 2007 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas typhoon_tip   Fri Jun 08 2007 11:55 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Steve   Fri Jun 08 2007 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Steve   Fri Jun 08 2007 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas madmumbler   Fri Jun 08 2007 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 07 2007 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas West FL Jess   Thu Jun 07 2007 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas madmumbler   Thu Jun 07 2007 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Storm Hunter   Thu Jun 07 2007 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Storm Hunter   Thu Jun 07 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Hurricane29   Thu Jun 07 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 07 2007 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Possible Development near Bahamas Ron Basso   Thu Jun 07 2007 02:16 PM
. * * graveyard HanKFranK   Wed Jun 06 2007 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Barry Gone, Quiet Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 06 2007 05:16 PM

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