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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean...
      Fri Jun 15 2007 07:33 PM

The thing here to remember when reading the NHC discussion is to READ them.. and we tend to want to read into them what we think or want to see.

What did they say when they first brought this up officially..

Conditions might be more favorable in 48 hours.
It looked crummy yesterday, diffuse last night and this morning.. oddly it looks better tonight.

You can at least see the spot where the "center" for lack of a better word where the disturbance is vs the rain that keeps getting blown off to the ne. I'd call it more an impulse, anchored there sort of... the water vapor shows it well as does the other shortwave loop. Warning..the visible will make you go blurry eyed if you keep zooming in.

So... I guess we will see tomorrow morning if they were right and if conditions will be more favorable for development.

Good comment on the front page of this board about watching and learning.

Up til the last few hours I would have laughed the possible system off... I think something *might* be happening.

Keep watching..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

Note the frontal boundary there is changing, air currents are changing and I think shear is getting lighter.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching the Western Caribbean... MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 15 2007 07:33 PM
. * * Re: SAL Dust in Carb. Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 27 2007 05:27 PM
. * * SAL Dust in Carb. Storm Hunter   Tue Jun 26 2007 11:44 PM
. * * Incoming Tropical Moisture crpeavley   Tue Jun 26 2007 08:47 AM
. * * Saturday morning danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2007 09:10 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... scottsvb   Fri Jun 22 2007 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jun 22 2007 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... scottsvb   Fri Jun 22 2007 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... weatherguy08   Fri Jun 22 2007 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... nc_tropical_wx79   Fri Jun 22 2007 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... weatherguy08   Fri Jun 22 2007 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... allan   Fri Jun 22 2007 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Western Caribbean... weatherguy08   Fri Jun 22 2007 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area cieldumort   Fri Jun 22 2007 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area allan   Fri Jun 22 2007 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area dem05   Fri Jun 22 2007 02:41 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area cieldumort   Fri Jun 22 2007 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area dem05   Fri Jun 22 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area cieldumort   Thu Jun 21 2007 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Area Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jun 21 2007 06:05 PM
. * * Western Caribbean Area danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2007 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Satellite Links Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 20 2007 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Satellite Links ltpat228   Wed Jun 20 2007 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Satellite Links Storm Hunter   Wed Jun 20 2007 05:13 PM
. * * new entry HanKFranK   Wed Jun 20 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Satellite Links danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 20 2007 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... nc_tropical_wx79   Sun Jun 17 2007 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... scottsvb   Sat Jun 16 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... allan   Sat Jun 16 2007 11:38 AM
. * * blockiness abounds HanKFranK   Sat Jun 16 2007 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... Lamar-Plant City   Sat Jun 16 2007 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... GuppieGrouper   Fri Jun 15 2007 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... allan   Fri Jun 15 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... LoisCane   Fri Jun 15 2007 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... cieldumort   Fri Jun 15 2007 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... Hurricane29   Fri Jun 15 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... HURRICANELONNY   Fri Jun 15 2007 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 15 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... Ricreig   Fri Jun 15 2007 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... audienceofone   Fri Jun 15 2007 12:12 PM
. * * Just Some Notes Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jun 15 2007 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... allan   Fri Jun 15 2007 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... nc_tropical_wx79   Fri Jun 15 2007 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... nc_tropical_wx79   Fri Jun 15 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... cieldumort   Fri Jun 15 2007 01:50 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... dem05   Fri Jun 15 2007 12:26 AM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... dem05   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... nc_wx_watcher   Thu Jun 14 2007 11:13 PM

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