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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#26 4:00 am EDT
19.6N 85.5W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 964mb
Moving:
W at 16 mph
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today
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allan
Weather Master


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Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean...
      Tue Jun 19 2007 01:30 PM

Absolutely right.. all the models are hinting at a warm core system in either the GOM or off the east coast of Florida. The 12z NOGAPS has switched from GOM to the east coast, GFS has a very weak low off the east coast, NAM has a weak but nice spin near Tampa in the GOM, UKMET.. got to check it out first lol. I looked at the forecast windshear and it show that shear will decrease over the next 36-48 hours in the GOM but will be marginal off the east coast of Florida. So where will it be, GOM or east coast of FL? Lets just keep an eye out on it for now. I think the low is predicted to form out of the meso-cyclone in the southeast.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching the Northwest Caribbean... nc_wx_watcher Tue Jun 19 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Watching the Northwest Caribbean... allan   Tue Jun 19 2007 01:30 PM

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