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Invest 97L has dropped to 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. Watching as it rapidly moves west over the Atlantic.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 331 (Nicholas) , Major: 346 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1400 (Michael) Major: 1400 (Michael)
 


General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

allan
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Florida Low
      Wed Jun 20 2007 09:54 PM

Wind shear is not a problem wit this, 15-20 knots and lowering a bit more later on.. though it is a frontal low, remember that Beryl last year formed off the Carolinas coast. Maybe it could be tagged, but it needs convection and a tug off that front
I'll be monitering it for a while.. though i'm shocked at the NAM today, Hurricane crossing from the Pacific to the carribean then hitting Nicaragua? Well maybe a strong TS at that but isn't a pressure like 996 mlb close to a cat. 1 hurricane?
Here's the link to the 12z NAM in 30 hours.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/12/images/nam_slp_030l.gif

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by allan (Wed Jun 20 2007 11:12 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Florida Low cieldumortModerator Wed Jun 20 2007 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Florida Low allan   Wed Jun 20 2007 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Florida Low allan   Thu Jun 21 2007 01:49 PM

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