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Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2327
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts
      Fri Jun 29 2007 10:26 AM

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

0945 AM EDT FRI 29 JUN 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-037 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR 29.0N 79.0W AT 01/1800Z.....ADDED


There still isn't much meat to this now official Invest. Pressures are generally on the high side, upper-level winds are detrimental, and while the low is now possibly centered at the base of a surface trough which runs through -land- Florida, itself, most of the weather is occurring over the Bahamas and generally east of south Florida. There is quite the - disconnect - with this feature.

Upper-level winds will have to relax still more, and either convection needs to co-locate with the low, or a new low needs to reform situated with the convection, for it to have a shot of anything more than a curiosity.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Wave Near Florida MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 29 2007 10:26 AM
. * * Re: did the front stall? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 01 2007 09:48 PM
. * * Re: mjo time? Ed in Va   Sun Jul 01 2007 01:03 PM
. * * mjo time? HanKFranK   Sat Jun 30 2007 04:15 PM
. * * Re: did the front stall? weather_wise911   Sat Jun 30 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: did the front stall? madmumbler   Sat Jun 30 2007 11:22 AM
. * * Re: did the front stall? weather_wise911   Sat Jun 30 2007 09:45 AM
. * * Re: did the front stall? Ricreig   Sat Jun 30 2007 02:15 AM
. * * Re: did the front stall? nc_tropical_wx79   Fri Jun 29 2007 10:56 PM
. * * Re: did the front stall? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jun 29 2007 07:26 PM
. * * did the front stall? LoisCane   Fri Jun 29 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Wave Near Florida nc_tropical_wx79   Fri Jun 29 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Wave Near Florida Sheeper   Fri Jun 29 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts cieldumort   Fri Jun 29 2007 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts PCEOC   Fri Jun 29 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Weather Discussions-excerpts danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 29 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Getting hard to ignore nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Jun 28 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Getting hard to ignore ChessieStorm   Thu Jun 28 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Wave Near Florida Robert   Thu Jun 28 2007 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Getting hard to ignore LoisCane   Thu Jun 28 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Getting hard to ignore cieldumort   Thu Jun 28 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Getting hard to ignore Ed in Va   Thu Jun 28 2007 11:29 AM
. * * Getting hard to ignore LoisCane   Thu Jun 28 2007 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Wave Near Florida ChessieStorm   Thu Jun 28 2007 07:36 AM
. * * Re: Wave Near Florida cieldumort   Thu Jun 28 2007 05:39 AM

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