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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Ricreig
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Posts: 431
Loc: Orlando, Fl

Re: did the front stall?
Sat Jun 30 2007 02:15 AM

Quote:

NWS has the low moving North and also said it's starting to fill so does this mean rain/thunderstorms are starting to build (gaining convection)? And where is the low as of right now?

I bring your attention to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/GULF_latest.gif This shows the current and projected position of the low. When they say a low is 'filling', they mean it is becoming weaker. The thunderstorms associated with this low are much weaker than they were and it is likely that this will become a non-issue in the near future. Until it *is* gone, it is prudent to continue to watch it simply due to its location, but it is not likely to develop into anything. Additionally, as long as the Low is over land, the engine cannot start. The worst that can happen is an enhancement of normal summertime daily showers but even this seems to be fading. For now, watch but don't expect anything.

The above URL is time sensitive and updated regularly so if you look at it more than a few hours after the time this was originally posted, you will note the low is no longer even depicted and as of this morning, only the original weak tropical wave remains off the SW Fl. coast, and it isn't likely to do much due to proximity to land.

Edited by Ricreig (Sat Jun 30 2007 07:08 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Wave Near Florida	MikeC	Sat Jun 30 2007 02:15 AM
Re: did the front stall?	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 01 2007 09:48 PM
Re: mjo time?	Ed in Va	Sun Jul 01 2007 01:03 PM
mjo time?	HanKFranK	Sat Jun 30 2007 04:15 PM
Re: did the front stall?	weather_wise911	Sat Jun 30 2007 03:34 PM
Re: did the front stall?	madmumbler	Sat Jun 30 2007 11:22 AM
Re: did the front stall?	weather_wise911	Sat Jun 30 2007 09:45 AM
Re: did the front stall?	Ricreig	Sat Jun 30 2007 02:15 AM
Re: did the front stall?	nc_tropical_wx79	Fri Jun 29 2007 10:56 PM
Re: did the front stall?	Ed Dunham	Fri Jun 29 2007 07:26 PM
did the front stall?	LoisCane	Fri Jun 29 2007 04:20 PM
Re: Wave Near Florida	nc_tropical_wx79	Fri Jun 29 2007 02:16 PM
Re: Wave Near Florida	Sheeper	Fri Jun 29 2007 11:25 AM
Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts	cieldumort	Fri Jun 29 2007 10:26 AM
Re: Weather Discussions-excerpts	PCEOC	Fri Jun 29 2007 09:06 AM
Weather Discussions-excerpts	danielw	Fri Jun 29 2007 12:41 AM
Re: Getting hard to ignore	nc_tropical_wx79	Thu Jun 28 2007 10:45 PM
Re: Getting hard to ignore	ChessieStorm	Thu Jun 28 2007 01:56 PM
Re: Wave Near Florida	Robert	Thu Jun 28 2007 12:53 PM
Re: Getting hard to ignore	LoisCane	Thu Jun 28 2007 11:50 AM
Re: Getting hard to ignore	cieldumort	Thu Jun 28 2007 11:50 AM
Re: Getting hard to ignore	Ed in Va	Thu Jun 28 2007 11:29 AM
Getting hard to ignore	LoisCane	Thu Jun 28 2007 10:44 AM
Re: Wave Near Florida	ChessieStorm	Thu Jun 28 2007 07:36 AM
Re: Wave Near Florida	cieldumort	Thu Jun 28 2007 05:39 AM

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