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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
blah
      Sun Jul 08 2007 04:25 PM

as ed mentioned in the his short update today--the action is still a basin over. the long range gfs isn't showing anything to write home about on our side of the pond, still. they've obviously tweaked its algorithm for the parameters that govern tropical cyclogenesis... the gung-ho, every wave a storm gfs we've seen at times isn't on the job right now. until the storms show up again we won't know whether it's prognosticating better or just blinded. might be the former, ya know.
even without faith anything will happen, might be interesting to see what our erstwhile texas system does when it drifts off the southeast coast. the weak non-tropical low with the slightly frontal appearance that has been drifting eastward since leaving texas to dry out late last week is now over east-central alabama, meandering east. it's sort of like the july version of one of those winter-time storms that teases my neck of the woods with frozen precip, only about 40-50 degrees too warm. be funny if it reformed offshore like shortwave energy jumping from a mature frontal low to the triple point or a coastal lee trough. it ought to be over the atlantic coastal plain this time tomorrow. i vote it freak of the week.
stuff is trying to go in the pacific right now. big typhoon in the works east of the phillipines (12z euro had it smashing into kyushu next weekend as a big-ol mutha). closer in there are a couple/three things in the eastpac trying to fester. mjo doesn't always move in a neat, orderly wave and cause things to happen in our basin after tripping off the pacific, but more often than not it does have an effect. over the next week we ought to see the atlantic look more lively. maybe we'll get something by next weekend or later.
HF 2025z08july

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Jul 08 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Invest Soon? Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 19 2007 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Invest Soon? Ed in Va   Thu Jul 19 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Invest Soon? ElizabethH   Thu Jul 19 2007 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest Soon? Tropics Guy   Thu Jul 19 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! Ed in Va   Thu Jul 19 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! allan   Thu Jul 19 2007 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! Robert   Thu Jul 19 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! Hurricane29   Thu Jul 19 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! allan   Thu Jul 19 2007 04:43 AM
. * * Holy cow! Can you smell what the CMC is cooking?! Doombot!   Thu Jul 19 2007 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Water Temps Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 19 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Water Temps Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 19 2007 12:35 AM
. * * Re: ?Inland Low? Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 18 2007 11:55 PM
. * * ?Inland Low? danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 18 2007 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Wed Jul 18 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Beach   Wed Jul 18 2007 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Wed Jul 18 2007 04:25 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 17 2007 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Tue Jul 17 2007 03:25 PM
. * * Re: East of Florida nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Jul 17 2007 02:51 PM
. * * East of Florida Beach   Tue Jul 17 2007 01:26 PM
. * * north of hati Robert   Tue Jul 17 2007 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Robert   Tue Jul 17 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Heads Up?? OUSHAWN   Tue Jul 17 2007 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Heads Up?? cieldumort   Mon Jul 16 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Heads Up?? LoisCane   Mon Jul 16 2007 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Heads Up?? BLTizzle   Sun Jul 15 2007 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Heads Up?? allan   Sun Jul 15 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Heads Up?? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 15 2007 08:11 AM
. * * CMC Model danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 15 2007 05:02 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Robert   Sat Jul 14 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Robert   Sat Jul 14 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: 12n 32w Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 14 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: 12n 32w scottsvb   Sat Jul 14 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: 12n 32w Robert   Sat Jul 14 2007 12:50 PM
. * * 12n 32w Robert   Sat Jul 14 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Long Range Forecast Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 14 2007 04:03 AM
. * * Re: Long Range Forecast cchsweatherman   Fri Jul 13 2007 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Long Range Forecast Tropics Guy   Fri Jul 13 2007 09:52 AM
. * * Long Range Forecast danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 13 2007 12:46 AM
. * * Re: blah nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Jul 10 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: blah Ed in Va   Tue Jul 10 2007 11:24 AM
. * * Re: blah Lamar-Plant City   Sun Jul 08 2007 08:23 PM
. * * blah HanKFranK   Sun Jul 08 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet doug   Fri Jul 06 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Hugh   Fri Jul 06 2007 09:20 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet madmumbler   Fri Jul 06 2007 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Bloodstar   Fri Jul 06 2007 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Fri Jul 06 2007 03:20 AM
. * * Re: One Other Factor... scottsvb   Thu Jul 05 2007 11:06 PM
. * * One Other Factor... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 05 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 05 2007 09:54 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? HanKFranK   Thu Jul 05 2007 07:53 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? Bloodstar   Thu Jul 05 2007 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? audienceofone   Thu Jul 05 2007 10:27 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? weather_wise911   Thu Jul 05 2007 10:21 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? madmumbler   Thu Jul 05 2007 09:35 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? cieldumort   Thu Jul 05 2007 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? dem05   Thu Jul 05 2007 02:23 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? cieldumort   Thu Jul 05 2007 01:23 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Thu Jul 05 2007 12:48 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? Hugh   Wed Jul 04 2007 04:28 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 04 2007 12:52 PM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? Hugh   Wed Jul 04 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: 96L Dead?? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Jul 04 2007 11:07 AM
. * * 96L Dead?? weather_wise911   Wed Jul 04 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Jul 04 2007 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Jul 04 2007 09:55 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet allan   Wed Jul 04 2007 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Jul 04 2007 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet dem05   Wed Jul 04 2007 02:04 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet WeatherNLU   Wed Jul 04 2007 01:18 AM
. * * 96L Preliminary model danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 04 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 03 2007 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Tue Jul 03 2007 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet HanKFranK   Tue Jul 03 2007 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Hugh   Tue Jul 03 2007 10:07 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Clark   Tue Jul 03 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Hugh   Tue Jul 03 2007 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 03 2007 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet HURRICANELONNY   Tue Jul 03 2007 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet LoisCane   Tue Jul 03 2007 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Rich B   Tue Jul 03 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet LoisCane   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet ftlaudbob   Tue Jul 03 2007 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet cieldumort   Tue Jul 03 2007 10:30 AM
. * * Re: 96L INVEST allan   Tue Jul 03 2007 10:11 AM
. * * Re: 96L INVEST weather_wise911   Tue Jul 03 2007 09:45 AM
. * * Re: 96L INVEST Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 03 2007 09:22 AM
. * * Re: 96L INVEST allan   Tue Jul 03 2007 07:20 AM
. * * Re: 96L INVEST WeatherNLU   Tue Jul 03 2007 03:48 AM
. * * 96L INVEST danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 03 2007 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Wave nearing 40W Longitude cieldumort   Tue Jul 03 2007 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Wave nearing 40W Longitude danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 03 2007 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Wave nearing 40W Longitude Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 03 2007 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Wave nearing 40W Longitude danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 03 2007 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet dem05   Tue Jul 03 2007 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Wave nearing 40W Longitude Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:50 AM
. * * Wave nearing 40W Longitude danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:26 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 03 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet Clark   Mon Jul 02 2007 09:19 PM

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