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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Things to Watch
      Thu Jul 19 2007 10:27 PM

Update Friday 7/27... things are starting to perk up in the Eastern Atlantic with a well-defined tropical wave exiting the coast of Africa this evening. Model guidance suggests that the tropical Atlantic will become increasingly active as the upcoming week wears on.

Clark has posted a new blog on these developments and the tropical forecasting process; see it below on the main page or in the Blogs.

Update Sunday 7/23... Invest 97L has been issued but I think it's future is a non-event for most. Maybe a start for a so far slow season...

Original Post... Most of the Atlantic basin still remains quiet, however, a large but disorganized tropical wave has slowly increased in convective activity over the past couple of days in the eastern Caribbean Sea. Earlier today (19/20Z) a weak - and probably transient - mid-level circulation center was evident near 12N 66W. Movement to the west northwest at 10-12 knots - and that general movement is expected to continue for the next few days.

The wave, currently under light shear, will encounter some moderate westerly shear for the next day or two, so I wouldn't expect any significant near-term development. Over the weekend, as the system moves away from the shear zone, the wave has a better chance for some organization. SSTs in the central Caribbean Sea are about 28C. Something to watch over the next few days.

In the Central Pacific, Tropical Depression Cosme may well regain Tropical Storm intensity and pass just south of the main Hawaiian Islands on Saturday. You can follow CoconutCandy's excellent commentary on this system in the Other Storm Basins Forum.

Finally, a reminder that discussions based on long-range model projections belong in the Forecast Lounge rather than the Main Page thread.
ED


{{StormLinks|98L|98|3|2007|3|98L (New System links may not yet be updated)}}

Edited by MikeC (Sat Jul 28 2007 02:51 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Things to Watch Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Jul 19 2007 10:27 PM
. * * Re: One more thing... cieldumort   Sat Jul 28 2007 03:58 PM
. * * Re: One more thing... stormchazer   Sat Jul 28 2007 01:14 PM
. * * Re: One more thing... Storm Hunter   Fri Jul 27 2007 09:39 PM
. * * One more thing... Beach   Fri Jul 27 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Wave at 10n 45w ElizabethH   Fri Jul 27 2007 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Wave at 10n 45w LoisCane   Fri Jul 27 2007 01:55 PM
. * * Wave at 10n 45w Robert   Fri Jul 27 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch BLTizzle   Thu Jul 26 2007 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch OUSHAWN   Thu Jul 26 2007 01:33 PM
. * * Discussion Excerpts danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 26 2007 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 26 2007 04:18 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Storm Cooper   Thu Jul 26 2007 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch dem05   Thu Jul 26 2007 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch cchsweatherman   Wed Jul 25 2007 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 25 2007 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch OUSHAWN   Wed Jul 25 2007 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Hurricane29   Wed Jul 25 2007 05:48 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Lee-Delray   Wed Jul 25 2007 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Hurricane29   Wed Jul 25 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Lee-Delray   Wed Jul 25 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch OUSHAWN   Wed Jul 25 2007 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch cieldumort   Sun Jul 22 2007 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Clark   Sun Jul 22 2007 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Hurricane29   Sat Jul 21 2007 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch cieldumort   Sat Jul 21 2007 05:51 PM
. * * NHC Getting Hope weatherguy08   Sat Jul 21 2007 03:43 PM
. * * Little Short Term Progress weather_wise911   Sat Jul 21 2007 02:23 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 20 2007 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch LoisCane   Fri Jul 20 2007 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch lawgator   Fri Jul 20 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Things to Watch typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 20 2007 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch LoisCane   Fri Jul 20 2007 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 20 2007 01:27 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch typhoon_tip   Fri Jul 20 2007 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 20 2007 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Jul 20 2007 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Things to Watch LoisCane   Thu Jul 19 2007 11:43 PM

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