cieldumort
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
|
Re: GOM Low?
Mon Jul 30 2007 06:14 AM
|
|
|
Quiet in the GOM, alright - conditions are definitively unfavorable for development there, at this time. Subject to change.
My attention remains drawn to 98L, as it ebbs and flows within its environment. Fair to call it a subtropical low riding along and within the parent trof, but none too impressive thus far. Still, 98L might have a window of as many as up to 2 or 3 or even 4 more days to pull something off. Given this large of a window, it might yet ratchet itself up for entry into the season totals. Some model support for brushing Nova Scotia with it later during extratropical transition.
Changing scenes a bit to areas that might actually impact the lower 48, a LLC appears to be forming within a convectively-active wave, located around 9N 45W. If it doesn't drive into northern South America and/or meet any untimely final death in the eastern Caribbean, this could be of far more interest later this week. Behind this feature is one rather large, but relatively dry, low level circulation, as well as numerous individual thunderstorm clusters, and at least one more impressive wave. Rolling off the tip of western Africa are two more ready-made Lows, although the associated convection is seriously starting to wane as they prepare to roll offshore.
With so much brewing in the wave train, as detailed above, this is the area I am most interested in for the coming week.
|
|
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Edit
Reply
Quote
