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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic
      Tue Jul 31 2007 01:38 AM

Update From
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
125 AM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007 edited~danielw

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
A 1011 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES NEAR 10N49W MOVING W ABOUT 15 KT.
SINCE ABOUT 00 UTC THE LOW HAS DEVELOPED A SIGNIFICANT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION... AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS.

THIS TYPE OF WORDING WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE FCST. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TRACK THE SYSTEM TO THE WNW OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS...
CROSSING INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT... ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WED NIGHT... THEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN THU THROUGH SAT.

AT THIS POINT... ONLY THE 12Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN TRACK A CLOSED LOW THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN... SO WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WINDS AT A MODERATE LEVEL UNTIL WE SEE MORE CONSENSUS.
REGARDLESS... THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING W WITH THE LOW SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR GUSTY 20-25 KT WINDS TO SPREAD ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEK.

(This is a bit long and some of it is forecast discussion not present weather. But it's a very good wrap up of 99L~danielw)
0138 EDT

Edited by danielw (Tue Jul 31 2007 01:43 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US MikeCAdministrator Tue Jul 31 2007 01:38 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Random Chaos   Fri Aug 03 2007 07:13 AM
. * * Re: TD4? allan   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:05 PM
. * * Re: TD4? cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:16 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: TD4? LoisCane   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:10 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Beach   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:24 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR Robert   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:29 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: TD4? weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:56 AM
. * * Re: TD4? HCW   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:34 AM
. * * TD4? ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 01 2007 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US cieldumort   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Rich B   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. allan   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. WeatherNut   Tue Jul 31 2007 08:28 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 07:58 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Beach   Tue Jul 31 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:38 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic weather_wise911   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:00 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:18 AM
. * * 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. AmateurJohn   Mon Jul 30 2007 11:57 PM

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