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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: TD4?
      Wed Aug 01 2007 11:26 AM

Of more immediate concern to the U.S. and A. is the likely formation of low pressure off the mouth of the Mississippi River. Models are in general disagreement as to the future, but all of the major globals and the NAM (fka ETA) do close off low pressure somewhere from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to south of the FL/AL state line.

The NAM, which is generally discounted in tropical scenarios, did a nice job last week with the Texas/LA rainfall when none of the globals saw it. So whether or not it can be trusted to hit twice within 2 weeks is up for debate. Solutions range from a stationary low to something moving into AL/FL to SE LA . Afterward, some models want to nudge it north to northeast while others (including NAM) bring it WNW across Louisiana as high pressure builds in from the Atlantic.

This will be a relatively short time span if low pressure forms and if it takes on tropical characteristics. We're talking about something forming Thursday or Friday with roughly immediate impacts for the coast. Whether this is a hybrid, frontal low, tropical depression/storm or whatever remains to be seen. But we'll have action this week to talk about.

*edit* Looks like they've got RECON on standby for tomorrow afternoon:

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS


4. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 02/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 02/1730Z
D. 29.0N 88.0W
E. 02/1745Z TO 02/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 01 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Random Chaos   Fri Aug 03 2007 07:13 AM
. * * Re: TD4? allan   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:05 PM
. * * Re: TD4? cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:16 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: TD4? LoisCane   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:10 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Beach   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:24 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR Robert   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:29 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: TD4? weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:56 AM
. * * Re: TD4? HCW   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:34 AM
. * * TD4? ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 01 2007 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US cieldumort   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Rich B   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. allan   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. WeatherNut   Tue Jul 31 2007 08:28 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 07:58 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Beach   Tue Jul 31 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:38 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic weather_wise911   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:00 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:18 AM
. * * 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. AmateurJohn   Mon Jul 30 2007 11:57 PM

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