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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Robert
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR
      Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM

000
ABNT20 KNHC 011510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER DEVELOPMENT
OCCURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING SQUALLS TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Just taking some excerps from this (ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT) Meaning this system wont develop and it will struggle through the carribean and just keep us antsy. as the sytem gets closer to south america the normal trough over venezuala wil rob 99L of inflow and kill it. There is a slight chance it could meangle with the old frontal zone in the gulf later this week. All in All i wouldent excpect any reall true development till early next week at the earlyest i would almost go as far as to say nothing till at least the 15th.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Random Chaos   Fri Aug 03 2007 07:13 AM
. * * Re: TD4? allan   Wed Aug 01 2007 06:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:05 PM
. * * Re: TD4? cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:16 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 03:02 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Rich B   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: TD4? LoisCane   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 02:10 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Beach   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:24 PM
. * * Re: TD4? scottsvb   Wed Aug 01 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR ESPECIALLY FAVORABLE FOR Robert   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:30 AM
. * * Re: TD4? nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:29 AM
. * * Re: TD4? Steve   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: TD4? weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:56 AM
. * * Re: TD4? HCW   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:34 AM
. * * TD4? ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 01 2007 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US weather_wise911   Wed Aug 01 2007 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Chantal Forms in Atlantic No Threat to the US cieldumort   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. Rich B   Tue Jul 31 2007 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. allan   Tue Jul 31 2007 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. WeatherNut   Tue Jul 31 2007 08:28 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 07:58 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Beach   Tue Jul 31 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:38 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic weather_wise911   Tue Jul 31 2007 01:00 AM
. * * Re: 99L-Eastern Atlantic Random Chaos   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:18 AM
. * * 99L-Eastern Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 31 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms in Atlantic No Threat To Land. AmateurJohn   Mon Jul 30 2007 11:57 PM

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