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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Storm Cooper
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Reged:
Posts: 1290
Loc: Panama City , FL
Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch
      Fri Aug 03 2007 12:51 AM

A part of the latest AFD out of Tallahassee on the GOM mess.... this probably will prove to be much needed rain for the panhandle...

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF
THE CWA EXTENDING FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS EAST TO WEST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF. TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...EXPECT THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES TO SLIDE NORTHWARD
OVER AND TOWARD THE CWA. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH JUST WEST-NORTHWEST OF TAMPA WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE BIG BEND TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. WILL SHOW LIKELY POPS OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT...MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH ANOTHER DEVELOPING WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION SOUTH OF MOBILE AND TRACKING IT NORTHWARD TOWARD PANAMA
CITY. THEREFORE...WILL LEAVE POPS IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY THROUGH
THIS TIME PERIOD. FOR SATURDAY...EXPECT MAINLY SOUTHERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE CWA AND PLENTY OF LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH WILL
KEEP POPS NEAR CLIMO.

...Part of the TAE AFD @ 9:15pm...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
915 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
PRETTY MUCH A CLASSIC DISTURBED DAY ACROSS THE NE GULF AND MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA. CURRENTLY...THE TROUGH IS LOCATED IN OUR
COASTAL WATERS AND EXTENDS INTO NE FLORIDA...SE GEORGIA AND ON INTO
THE ATLANTIC. THE TROUGH IS OBSERVED QUITE WELL BY THE LATEST
UPPER-AIR RUNS...TBW HAS DEEP SW FLOW...WHEREAS TAE HAS EASTERLIES
THROUGH 500MB. RADAR LOOP SEEMS TO INDICATE A SMALL CIRCULATION IN
APALACHEE BAY. LITTLE MOVEMENT HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE LAST FEW HOURS.
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. MY LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A
1010-1011MB LOW LOCATED IN THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI DELTA.

--------------------
Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1

Edited by Storm Cooper (Fri Aug 03 2007 01:24 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Enter August... Two Systems to Watch MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 03 2007 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch weather_wise911   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Sat Aug 04 2007 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch nc_tropical_wx79   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:40 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:28 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch OUSHAWN   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:34 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Fri Aug 03 2007 04:30 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Clark   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 02 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch ElizabethH   Thu Aug 02 2007 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch La Nimo   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:28 PM
. * * cieldumort Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Texas Cane Tracker   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch bigbelly   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Rabbit   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:37 PM

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