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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch
      Fri Aug 03 2007 03:00 AM

I'm starting to think that both this feature in the Gulf as well as 99L are not on the development path. While there's a weak surface low with the former in Apalachee Bay, there's just no real focusing mechanism along the broad trough across the northern Gulf -- nor are there any signs of one developing. This may end up just being a rain event for Florida and parts of the SE, a much needed rain event. With 99L, it's a lot like a storm a few years back -- others have said Chantal from 2001, though I haven't looked to see if that's truly the case -- in that it is moving too fast for the convective bursts to have much of an effect in terms of developing a surface circulation. With no surface circulation, convection can't persist and the system can't develop. With conditions a bit more unfavorable further west and no signs of the feature slowing...I'm thinking our development chances from either of the system can be knocked down just a tad.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Enter August... Two Systems to Watch MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 03 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch weather_wise911   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Sat Aug 04 2007 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch nc_tropical_wx79   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:40 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:28 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Sat Aug 04 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch OUSHAWN   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:34 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Fri Aug 03 2007 04:30 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Clark   Fri Aug 03 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Cooper   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Fri Aug 03 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 02 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch ElizabethH   Thu Aug 02 2007 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch La Nimo   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 02 2007 07:28 PM
. * * cieldumort Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Texas Cane Tracker   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Thu Aug 02 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch cieldumort   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch scottsvb   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch doug   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Robert   Thu Aug 02 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch bigbelly   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Rabbit   Thu Aug 02 2007 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch allan   Thu Aug 02 2007 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Hugh   Wed Aug 01 2007 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Enter August... Two Systems to Watch Bloodstar   Wed Aug 01 2007 10:37 PM

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