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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: A Brief Lull
      Mon Aug 06 2007 05:41 PM

the thing steveh1 mentions is about 'it' right now. it doesn't look especially impressive but is maintaining to slightly improving right now, so it might be something in a couple of days. the stuff on the itcz isn't really moving though, at the low levels, while easterly waves are buzzing right along in the low-mid troposphere above the surface convergence and turning. it will need to do something or the next wave will smear it flat back into the itcz.
since 99L tried to go, chantal went, and the eastpac has been modestly active lately, that sudden snap that tends to happen in august during la nina years when everything suddenly switches on is likely not far in the future. it's usually the 15th-20th, which is in the two week period anyhow.
in other news it's hot as blue blazes in the east right now. fairly strong amplitude ridge right now, with troughing offshore. heights will start to fall a tad here and may create a recurvature corridor near the east coast for anything that happens. it does appear, though, that the mean trough position this year is off the east coast and may lead to numerous recurvatures.
HF 2141z06august

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* A Brief Lull MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 06 2007 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend doug   Sat Aug 11 2007 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Close to home,,, Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Close to home,,, Beach   Sat Aug 11 2007 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 11 2007 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Weak weekend craigm   Sat Aug 11 2007 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Clark   Sat Aug 11 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Weak weekend danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 10 2007 08:13 PM
. * * Re: something finally Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 10 2007 03:51 PM
. * * Re: something finally madmumbler   Fri Aug 10 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: something finally Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 10 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: something finally OUSHAWN   Fri Aug 10 2007 09:48 AM
. * * Re: something finally ElizabethH   Fri Aug 10 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: something finally danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 10 2007 05:35 AM
. * * something finally HanKFranK   Thu Aug 09 2007 07:50 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 08 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Active areas rmbjoe1954   Tue Aug 07 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: 35W 10N? Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 07 2007 05:59 PM
. * * 35W 10N? Bloodstar   Tue Aug 07 2007 05:45 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull madmumbler   Tue Aug 07 2007 01:37 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull HanKFranK   Mon Aug 06 2007 05:41 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull Steve H1   Mon Aug 06 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Lesser Antilles Wave danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2007 02:15 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 05 2007 11:19 AM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull allan   Sun Aug 05 2007 08:06 AM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull cieldumort   Sat Aug 04 2007 10:17 PM

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