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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 283 (Idalia) , Major: 283 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 283 (Idalia) Major: 283 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Weak weekend
      Sat Aug 11 2007 05:16 AM

Yeah, there'll be a lot bantered about with that wave coming off of Africa this weekend I feel. Conditions aren't ideal due to cooler-than-normal water temperatures near the Cape Verdes, but it looks like all other conditions are favorable and that this feature is going to remain far enough south from the outset so as to avoid most of those complications. It's a relatively easy track forecast for anything that does form out there over the next week -- west to west-northwest at 15 or so mph until it gets near the Lesser Antilles. That's where the fun begins. It's largely too early to speculate beyond that, but we'll be watching how a trough across the northeast United States evolves over the next week as it could be key in determining the ultimate track of this feature -- if it develops, of course. The models are in surprisingly good agreement on something forming out there, I'd just go a tad slower than they figure as of now.

Meanwhile, the mess in the Caribbean festers but without anything really to focus upon. I suspect daytime heating and the associated diurnal convection over Cuba and Hispaniola may be hindering things at least a tad. This one's going to be much slower to move over the next few days. It's something to watch, but as of now I think our more significant action may come from the deep tropical Atlantic in the next few days.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* A Brief Lull MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 11 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Weak weekend doug   Sat Aug 11 2007 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Close to home,,, Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 05:15 PM
. * * Close to home,,, Beach   Sat Aug 11 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 11 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend craigm   Sat Aug 11 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Random Chaos   Sat Aug 11 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Weak weekend Clark   Sat Aug 11 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Weak weekend danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 11 2007 12:13 AM
. * * Re: something finally Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 10 2007 07:51 PM
. * * Re: something finally madmumbler   Fri Aug 10 2007 07:34 PM
. * * Re: something finally Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 10 2007 04:06 PM
. * * Re: something finally OUSHAWN   Fri Aug 10 2007 01:48 PM
. * * Re: something finally ElizabethH   Fri Aug 10 2007 01:43 PM
. * * Re: something finally danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 10 2007 09:35 AM
. * * something finally HanKFranK   Thu Aug 09 2007 11:50 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 08 2007 05:49 PM
. * * Active areas rmbjoe1954   Wed Aug 08 2007 12:36 AM
. * * Re: 35W 10N? Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 07 2007 09:59 PM
. * * 35W 10N? Bloodstar   Tue Aug 07 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull madmumbler   Tue Aug 07 2007 05:37 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull HanKFranK   Mon Aug 06 2007 09:41 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull Steve H1   Mon Aug 06 2007 08:25 PM
. * * Lesser Antilles Wave danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2007 06:15 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 05 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull allan   Sun Aug 05 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: A Brief Lull cieldumort   Sun Aug 05 2007 02:17 AM

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