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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
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vpbob21
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Flossie Remains a Category 4 Storm
      Sun Aug 12 2007 12:35 AM

Flossie continues to defy all intensity predictions tonight ... just about as soon as I posted that the storm had probably peaked Flossie put on another burst of intensification. T numbers climbed to 6.5 supporting a 127 kt. storm, and the CPHC set the intensity at a (by their admission) conservative 120 kts. Judging by the impressive satellite presentation, I would agree the intensity estimate is conservative. Certainly the pressure estimate of 946 mb seems a little high - I would have to suspect if a plane was in there they might find something more like low 930's. One bit of good news - after moving WNW much of today the storm (at least to my untrained eye) seems to have resumed more of a westward course (though it could be just a wobble). Hopefully the track will be a little farther south than forecast, but I imagine there will still be some pretty high surf hitting the S and E facing beaches over the next 2-4 days.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Flossie Heads for Hawaii CoconutCandy Sun Aug 12 2007 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Flossie Heads for Hawaii bbys35c   Mon Aug 13 2007 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Flossie Heads for Hawaii CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Aug 13 2007 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Flossie Heads for Hawaii Clark   Mon Aug 13 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Major Hurricane Flossie heading west vpbob21   Sat Aug 11 2007 01:23 PM
. * * Powerful Flossie Now a Category 4 Hurricane CoconutCandy   Sat Aug 11 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Flossie Remains a Category 4 Storm vpbob21   Sun Aug 12 2007 12:35 AM
. * * Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii CoconutCandy   Mon Aug 13 2007 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii jams   Mon Aug 13 2007 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii DJINFLA   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:25 AM
. * * Flossie Quashed - Hawaii Spared Once Again CoconutCandy   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Flossie Quashed - Hawaii Spared Once Again Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii Clark   Mon Aug 13 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Flossie Shearing but Eyewall Dynamics Continue CoconutCandy   Tue Aug 14 2007 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii jams   Mon Aug 13 2007 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous Flossie Remains Intense - Threatens Hawaii Clark   Mon Aug 13 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Hurricane Flossie Maintaining Cat 4 Strength CoconutCandy   Sun Aug 12 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Tropical Storm Flossie Heads for Hawaii CoconutCandy   Thu Aug 09 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Tropical Storm Flossie Borders on Hurricane CoconutCandy   Fri Aug 10 2007 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91E to Become Tropical Storm Flossie ? Rob1966   Wed Aug 08 2007 11:34 PM

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