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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie
      Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 PM

There seems to be an emerging consensus on the expansion of the upper Level ridge over the southern plains eastward into the western Atlantic Ocean. The ECMWF 500 mb pattern from days 7 through 10 shows this development. If this pattern holds, the US east coast could be spared from soon to be tropical cyclone Dean. Of course, that means FL, the Greater Antilles, Yucatan, and GOM may be in the projected path of this system down the road.

From 8/12 morning HPC Disc:

SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY/SOUTHEAST...

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE DEEP LAYER ANTICYCLONE AND
CORE OF THE HOT AIR MASS REMAINING ACRS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
LOWER MS VALLEY AND DRIFTING EAST DAYS SIX/SEVEN. THERE IS ALSO
AGREEMENT ON THE DEEP LAYER SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC RIDGE BUILDING WEST
TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THE TWO MERGING
INTO ONE LARGE/ELONGATED RIDGE ACRS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
SOUTHEAST COAST BY DAY SEVEN. MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE ON THE LEVEL
OF DETAIL SO A CONSENSUS SHOULD SUFFICE.

--------------------
RJB

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie allan   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie madmumbler   Mon Aug 13 2007 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie cieldumort   Mon Aug 13 2007 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Hugh   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:38 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie WeatherNut   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie weather_wise911   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie hurricaneguy   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Ron Basso   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Steve   Sun Aug 12 2007 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie West FL Jess   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Clark   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Beaumont, TX   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie HCW   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie stormchazer   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:47 PM

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