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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 273 (Idalia) , Major: 273 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 273 (Idalia) Major: 273 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie
      Sun Aug 12 2007 04:44 PM

While the CMC is known for blowing up systems where none occur, it's having a scary time with the gulf system that is being watched, turning it into a major storm that loops around the Yucatan and then hits Mexico. I don't hold much credence to the model given that GFS, NOGAPS, and UKMET aren't seeing it yet, but it is still a system to pay attention to.

--
Edit - adding additional reference:


UKMET shows a possible system looping around the Yucatan, but doesn't deepen it the way the CMC does. Link:
http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MO...one&C1=pmsl

---
Edit 2:

The 12Z model runs don't develop the gulf system at all.

Edited by Random Chaos (Sun Aug 12 2007 06:39 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 12 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie allan   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie madmumbler   Mon Aug 13 2007 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie cieldumort   Mon Aug 13 2007 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Hugh   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:38 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie WeatherNut   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie weather_wise911   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie hurricaneguy   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Ron Basso   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Steve   Sun Aug 12 2007 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie West FL Jess   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Clark   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Beaumont, TX   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie HCW   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie stormchazer   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:47 PM

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