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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie
      Mon Aug 13 2007 01:24 AM

hmm... i think its very close to TD status now... if not already... the CDO is setting up nice.. and the cloud tops in the last few hours are pretty cold. Outflow looks good, banding becoming evident in the sats...... just a matter if NHC wants to pull the trigger and go ahead in call it a TD... or wait and see what the night holds for it... If they don't at the 11pm, and it holds through the night, i would expect morning crew to upgrade... And at this rate we could have a TS on our hands very soon... i don't see anything in the short term that would hinder it.... and yes its way out there in the atlantic... kinda susprising, but its been a few years since we see this in this area....look so good..... Watching the Navy now... I would assume Navy would go ahead with the upgrade to atleast TD?

Goes-east "Central Atlantic "
**Met-9 on NOAA is ever 6 hrs**
Some of the Quickscat flags show 25kts plus... so its seems its right there.

The reason i say NHC may hold... is in the 8:05pm TWD... they said that the low-level circulation is partially exposed... i am trying to find better sat shots... wonder what sat they are using?

"A 1008 MB LOW...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
25W S OF 18N...IS LOCATED OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR
12.5N25W. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NE OF A CONVECTIVE MASS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW AS THE
LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 15-20 KT. "

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Mon Aug 13 2007 01:46 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 13 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie allan   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie madmumbler   Mon Aug 13 2007 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie cieldumort   Mon Aug 13 2007 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Hugh   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:38 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie WeatherNut   Mon Aug 13 2007 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 13 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie weather_wise911   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 13 2007 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie hurricaneguy   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie GuppieGrouper   Sun Aug 12 2007 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Random Chaos   Sun Aug 12 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Ron Basso   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Steve   Sun Aug 12 2007 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 12 2007 03:45 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie West FL Jess   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Clark   Sun Aug 12 2007 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Beaumont, TX   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie Old Sailor   Sun Aug 12 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie HCW   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie stormchazer   Sat Aug 11 2007 08:47 PM

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