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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.

Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie
Sun Aug 12 2007 09:24 PM

hmm... i think its very close to TD status now... if not already... the CDO is setting up nice.. and the cloud tops in the last few hours are pretty cold. Outflow looks good, banding becoming evident in the sats...... just a matter if NHC wants to pull the trigger and go ahead in call it a TD... or wait and see what the night holds for it... If they don't at the 11pm, and it holds through the night, i would expect morning crew to upgrade... And at this rate we could have a TS on our hands very soon... i don't see anything in the short term that would hinder it.... and yes its way out there in the atlantic... kinda susprising, but its been a few years since we see this in this area....look so good..... Watching the Navy now... I would assume Navy would go ahead with the upgrade to atleast TD?

Goes-east "Central Atlantic "
**Met-9 on NOAA is ever 6 hrs**
Some of the Quickscat flags show 25kts plus... so its seems its right there.

The reason i say NHC may hold... is in the 8:05pm TWD... they said that the low-level circulation is partially exposed... i am trying to find better sat shots... wonder what sat they are using?

"A 1008 MB LOW...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
25W S OF 18N...IS LOCATED OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR
12.5N25W. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NE OF A CONVECTIVE MASS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW AS THE
LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 15-20 KT. "

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh

Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Aug 12 2007 09:46 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:24 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Mon Aug 13 2007 09:36 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	allan	Mon Aug 13 2007 08:45 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	madmumbler	Mon Aug 13 2007 07:43 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	cieldumort	Mon Aug 13 2007 04:19 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Hugh	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:38 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:26 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Old Sailor	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:05 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:01 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:52 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:24 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	weather_wise911	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:54 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	nc_tropical_wx79	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:44 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Lee-Delray	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:31 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Cooper	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	hurricaneguy	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:26 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 12 2007 07:19 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 04:29 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 03:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 12 2007 12:44 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:59 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Ron Basso	Sun Aug 12 2007 10:46 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sun Aug 12 2007 09:07 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Steve	Sun Aug 12 2007 08:36 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 12 2007 02:12 AM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	MikeC	Sat Aug 11 2007 11:45 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	West FL Jess	Sat Aug 11 2007 10:48 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Clark	Sat Aug 11 2007 10:46 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:42 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Beaumont, TX	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:30 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	Old Sailor	Sat Aug 11 2007 09:16 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	HCW	Sat Aug 11 2007 04:48 PM
Re: Two Things to Watch and Flossie	stormchazer	Sat Aug 11 2007 04:47 PM

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