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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: coupla things
      Tue Aug 14 2007 06:53 PM

Essentially, it is too far out to know both it's track and intensity even when it reaches the Cuba area.

As is, intensity forecasts, the 5-day (Haiti area) range everywhere from a Tropical Storm through a strong Category 4. That's a huge range of possibilities. NHC dropped the outliers and chose the average of those left to come up with a category 2.

As is being discussed in the Forecast Lounge, the track is equally up in the air. One run send it off into the atlantic, the next into texas, the next into the carolinas, and the next into flordia. There is no clue how powerful this is going to be or where it's going after about 2-3 days.

--RC

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 14 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf sharkman   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Thunderbird12   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:40 AM
. * * Re: forward speed allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Ricreig   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf native   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:37 AM
. * * forward speed SeaMule   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf h2ocean   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf LisaC   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf stevie   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf WeatherNLU   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf WeatherNLU   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:11 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf cieldumort   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:41 AM
. * * Re: Dean Clark   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean Rabbit   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Dean cieldumort   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:04 PM
. * * Re: coupla things wxman007   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:59 PM
. * * Re: coupla things CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:47 PM
. * * Re: coupla things twizted sizter   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:41 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:41 PM
. * * Dean Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:38 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Old Sailor   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:15 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Fla. native in Ala.   Tue Aug 14 2007 09:13 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:52 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:42 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:39 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Hugh   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:39 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Preparedness CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Preparedness MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:21 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Hugh   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:14 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Preparedness tweather   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:06 PM
. * * Re: The Hebert Box WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 14 2007 08:00 PM
. * * Preparedness wxman007   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:50 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:40 PM
. * * The Hebert Box rmbjoe1954   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:28 PM
. * * Re: coupla things madmumbler   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:20 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Hugh   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: coupla things richisurfs   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: coupla things madmumbler   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:13 PM
. * * Re: coupla things StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:13 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Hugh   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: coupla things StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:08 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: coupla things StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 14 2007 07:04 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Valandil   Tue Aug 14 2007 06:57 PM
. * * Re: coupla things Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: coupla things StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 14 2007 06:46 PM
. * * coupla things HanKFranK   Tue Aug 14 2007 06:35 PM
. * * 91L Rich B   Tue Aug 14 2007 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean stormchazer   Tue Aug 14 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean allan   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean stormchazer   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 14 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean Valandil   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... ElizabethH   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... allan   Tue Aug 14 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Get ready for #5... Old Sailor   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:57 PM
. * * Get ready for #5... Clark   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... Clark   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... AdvAutoBob   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Hey Hull... OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Hey Hull... javlin   Tue Aug 14 2007 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... native   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Hey Hull... Kissimmee   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:46 PM
. * * 91L and recon Rich B   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean and model tracks... AdvAutoBob   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Hey Hull... javlin   Tue Aug 14 2007 01:02 PM
. * * Hey Hull... Steve   Tue Aug 14 2007 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also scottsvb   Tue Aug 14 2007 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Steve H1   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also LisaC   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also LisaC   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also hullphoto   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Rabbit   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Beaumont, TX   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also OUSHAWN   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also Random Chaos   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Still Watching Gulf Also allan   Tue Aug 14 2007 10:01 AM

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