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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Dean And Erin
      Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM

Quote:

Hi, I am new here, found this site a few days ago. Great information given here. I live in Louisiana and do have a question about the high pressure that is currently sitting on top of us here in the southeast. Does anyone know if this high pressure will eventually move away and allow Dean to hit the central gulf coast? The reason I ask is, I remember Rita in 2005 and she rode the high pressure to the La/Tx border as the high pressure kept moving farther east. Is there any indication this might happen this time? Thanks in advance!




It's really too early to tell as of now. Dean, even moving as fast as it is now, is still at least 6 days from the Gulf of Mexico. A lot can change over the course of those 6 days, though right now the various computer models are becoming more consistent on showing a track toward the western Gulf of Mexico as it rides along the south side of one of those ridges of high pressure. It's possible that a weakness develops in the ridge and allows Dean to ride around its western periphery, but that's beyond the range of reasonable forecast skill and accuracy. For now, just stay tuned -- once we get to the weekend, we should know more.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Re: 41101 Buoy MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:02 PM
. * * 41101 Buoy danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Pablo712   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles bamffl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles stevie   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles WeatherNut   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL native   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * how would our met's rate the size of Dean so far? SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * Category 5 Dean? neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:17 PM
. * * Funny Weather Channel Goof neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Clark   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Ron Basso   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: GFDL mikethewreck   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:30 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:11 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: GFDL danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:58 PM
. * * Re: GFDL WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Re: GFDL dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kevin   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: GFDL MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:03 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:01 PM
. * * Where next for Dean? Rich B   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly saluki   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:01 PM
. * * Tropical Systems Change Rapidly charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:11 PM
. * * "if anything?"""" SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box twizted sizter   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Hebert Box StrmTrckrMiami   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Hebert Box rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:31 AM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:20 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:51 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Thunderbird12   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:30 AM
. * * GFDL NewWatcher   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Dean Ed in Va   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean 7 Deadly Zins   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Dean MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:04 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Valandil   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Dean craigm   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Direction of Dean charlottefl   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:50 PM
. * * Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Dean CategoryFive   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Dean rmbjoe1954   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: The Rules.....again.. Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Kevin   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Deanie Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:36 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble byrdlh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Deanie CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:14 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:41 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:23 PM
. * * lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:55 PM
. * * GOM danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:42 PM
. * * Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin LisaC   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin BlueBayouLA   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin mikethewreck   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico MissouriHurricane2008   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beach   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico lawgator   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Allison   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:19 PM
. * * I don't think it's a northward jog SeaMule   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin h2ocean   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Rich B   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 NativePensacola   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 orlando fl   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 pensacolatracker   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 tumbleman   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:22 AM

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