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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
GFDL
      Thu Aug 16 2007 10:15 AM

That is because the GFDL is seeing a trof of low pressure coming down from west Texas around day 5-6 when Dean is forcast to be near the Yucatan. Dean doesnt need to be a cat 5 to be steered north at that point, however I also think the GFDL is way low on intensity at that point.

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 16 2007 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Re: 41101 Buoy MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:02 PM
. * * 41101 Buoy danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Pablo712   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles bamffl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles stevie   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles WeatherNut   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL native   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * how would our met's rate the size of Dean so far? SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * Category 5 Dean? neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:17 PM
. * * Funny Weather Channel Goof neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Clark   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Ron Basso   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: GFDL mikethewreck   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:30 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:11 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: GFDL danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:58 PM
. * * Re: GFDL WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Re: GFDL dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kevin   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: GFDL MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:03 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:01 PM
. * * Where next for Dean? Rich B   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly saluki   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:01 PM
. * * Tropical Systems Change Rapidly charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:11 PM
. * * "if anything?"""" SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box twizted sizter   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Hebert Box StrmTrckrMiami   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Hebert Box rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:31 AM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:20 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:51 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Thunderbird12   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:30 AM
. * * GFDL NewWatcher   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Dean Ed in Va   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean 7 Deadly Zins   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Dean MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:04 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Valandil   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Dean craigm   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Direction of Dean charlottefl   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:50 PM
. * * Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Dean CategoryFive   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Dean rmbjoe1954   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: The Rules.....again.. Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Kevin   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Deanie Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:36 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble byrdlh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Deanie CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:14 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:41 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:23 PM
. * * lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:55 PM
. * * GOM danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:42 PM
. * * Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin LisaC   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin BlueBayouLA   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin mikethewreck   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico MissouriHurricane2008   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beach   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico lawgator   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Allison   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:19 PM
. * * I don't think it's a northward jog SeaMule   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin h2ocean   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Rich B   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 NativePensacola   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 orlando fl   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 pensacolatracker   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 tumbleman   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:22 AM

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