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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
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allan
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles
      Thu Aug 16 2007 10:00 PM

Dean is a category 2 Hurricane and getting stronger, could possibly outwit the great Hurricane Wilma (2005).. sounds crazy but temperatures in the Gulf Of Mexico are extremely warm. Hurricanes Allen (1980), and Gilbert (1988), and Ivan (2004) are similiar to Dean in a way. I still believe the Upper Level Low to the east of Florida will not weaken much and could push Dean more north than it's forecast. tonight as the NOAA aircraft is out there, they will send the information to the computer models and tonight will be the night to finally find out where Dean is headed. Gulf Of Mexico, Mexcio and away from the USA, or could it swing and hit Florida? There is also the possibility that the upcoming High Pressure System that will steer Dean in a few days could weaken a tad and bring Dean to anybody on the Gulf Coast. Those are the scenarios and it's because of the dissagreement of all the models that is making me hold my new 3rd run track. I will make it soon as I find out what these models will agree on.. folks it's very crucial.. Dean could be a category 5 hurricane once it reaches the very warm waters of both the Carribean Sea and Gulf of Mexico... last to note that a situation like Katrina is not out of the realm. Everybody needs to moniter this storm, even Florida.. it's still possible that Dean could curve up the west coast of FL, it's still has'nt reached the Islands just yet. Dean will pound them tommorow as a Major Hurricane in my opinion.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by allan (Thu Aug 16 2007 10:00 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 16 2007 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Fri Aug 17 2007 12:08 AM
. * * Re: 41101 Buoy MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 17 2007 12:02 AM
. * * 41101 Buoy danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Pablo712   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles bamffl   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles stevie   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles WeatherNut   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL native   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:23 PM
. * * how would our met's rate the size of Dean so far? SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:23 PM
. * * Category 5 Dean? neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Funny Weather Channel Goof neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:50 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Clark   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:42 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Ron Basso   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:04 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:55 PM
. * * Re: GFDL mikethewreck   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:30 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:11 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:01 PM
. * * Re: GFDL danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:58 PM
. * * Re: GFDL WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:51 PM
. * * Re: GFDL dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:44 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:37 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kevin   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:21 PM
. * * Re: GFDL MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:01 PM
. * * Where next for Dean? Rich B   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly saluki   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:01 PM
. * * Tropical Systems Change Rapidly charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:11 PM
. * * "if anything?"""" SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box twizted sizter   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box StrmTrckrMiami   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:42 PM
. * * Hebert Box rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:15 PM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Thunderbird12   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:30 PM
. * * GFDL NewWatcher   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Dean Ed in Va   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean 7 Deadly Zins   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:04 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Valandil   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:18 AM
. * * Re: Dean craigm   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:53 AM
. * * Direction of Dean charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:53 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Brad in Miami   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:50 AM
. * * Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean CategoryFive   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:51 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Dean rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:07 AM
. * * Re: The Rules.....again.. Storm Cooper   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Posts danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:07 AM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Kevin   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Deanie Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:36 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble byrdlh   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:31 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:17 PM
. * * Deanie CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:14 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:05 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:41 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:23 PM
. * * lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:55 PM
. * * GOM danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin LisaC   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin BlueBayouLA   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin mikethewreck   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico MissouriHurricane2008   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beach   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico lawgator   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Allison   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:19 PM
. * * I don't think it's a northward jog SeaMule   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin h2ocean   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Rich B   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 NativePensacola   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 orlando fl   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 pensacolatracker   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 tumbleman   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:22 PM

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