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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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allan
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles
      Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM

Dean is a category 2 Hurricane and getting stronger, could possibly outwit the great Hurricane Wilma (2005).. sounds crazy but temperatures in the Gulf Of Mexico are extremely warm. Hurricanes Allen (1980), and Gilbert (1988), and Ivan (2004) are similiar to Dean in a way. I still believe the Upper Level Low to the east of Florida will not weaken much and could push Dean more north than it's forecast. tonight as the NOAA aircraft is out there, they will send the information to the computer models and tonight will be the night to finally find out where Dean is headed. Gulf Of Mexico, Mexcio and away from the USA, or could it swing and hit Florida? There is also the possibility that the upcoming High Pressure System that will steer Dean in a few days could weaken a tad and bring Dean to anybody on the Gulf Coast. Those are the scenarios and it's because of the dissagreement of all the models that is making me hold my new 3rd run track. I will make it soon as I find out what these models will agree on.. folks it's very crucial.. Dean could be a category 5 hurricane once it reaches the very warm waters of both the Carribean Sea and Gulf of Mexico... last to note that a situation like Katrina is not out of the realm. Everybody needs to moniter this storm, even Florida.. it's still possible that Dean could curve up the west coast of FL, it's still has'nt reached the Islands just yet. Dean will pound them tommorow as a Major Hurricane in my opinion.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by allan (Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Re: 41101 Buoy MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:02 PM
. * * 41101 Buoy danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles Pablo712   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles bamffl   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles stevie   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles WeatherNut   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Erin makes landfall in Texas, Dean strengthens and nears Lesser Antilles allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL native   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:24 PM
. * * Re: Category 5 Dean? rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * how would our met's rate the size of Dean so far? SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:23 PM
. * * Category 5 Dean? neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:17 PM
. * * Funny Weather Channel Goof neospaceblue   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: GFDL aboz56   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Clark   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Ron Basso   Thu Aug 16 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Steve   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: GFDL mikethewreck   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:30 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:11 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: GFDL danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:58 PM
. * * Re: GFDL WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Re: GFDL dem05   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: GFDL Kevin   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: GFDL MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:03 PM
. * * Re: GFDL stormchazer   Thu Aug 16 2007 02:01 PM
. * * Where next for Dean? Rich B   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly saluki   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Systems Change Rapidly scottsvb   Thu Aug 16 2007 01:01 PM
. * * Tropical Systems Change Rapidly charlottefl   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:11 PM
. * * "if anything?"""" SeaMule   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box twizted sizter   Thu Aug 16 2007 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Hebert Box OUSHAWN   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Hebert Box StrmTrckrMiami   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Hebert Box rmbjoe1954   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:31 AM
. * * Re: GFDL LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:20 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: GFDL nl   Thu Aug 16 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:51 AM
. * * Re: GFDL Thunderbird12   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:30 AM
. * * GFDL NewWatcher   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Dean Ed in Va   Thu Aug 16 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean 7 Deadly Zins   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean LisaC   Thu Aug 16 2007 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean Kal   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Dean MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Thu Aug 16 2007 08:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 16 2007 07:04 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 16 2007 06:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Valandil   Thu Aug 16 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Dean craigm   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Direction of Dean charlottefl   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Brad in Miami   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane watches issued Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:50 PM
. * * Hurricane watches issued Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 15 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Dean CategoryFive   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Dean rmbjoe1954   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: The Rules.....again.. Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:07 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Kevin   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Wed Aug 15 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Deanie Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:36 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble byrdlh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:17 PM
. * * Deanie CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:14 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble Hugh   Wed Aug 15 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:41 PM
. * * Re: lone star abuse, caribbean trouble hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 06:23 PM
. * * lone star abuse, caribbean trouble HanKFranK   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:56 PM
. * * Re: GOM madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:55 PM
. * * GOM danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:42 PM
. * * Posts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin LisaC   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Lee-Delray   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin BlueBayouLA   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin mikethewreck   Wed Aug 15 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico madmumbler   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico MissouriHurricane2008   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Beach   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Erin Forms in Gulf of Mexico lawgator   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Allison   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:19 PM
. * * I don't think it's a northward jog SeaMule   Wed Aug 15 2007 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin h2ocean   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Rich B   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 NativePensacola   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Clark   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And Erin allan   Wed Aug 15 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 orlando fl   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 twizted sizter   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 hurricaneguy   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 scottsvb   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 pensacolatracker   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 OUSHAWN   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 Random Chaos   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean And TD#5 tumbleman   Wed Aug 15 2007 11:22 AM

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