Some interesting Info for the current storm and other observations from the HPC.
...TROPICS... HURRICANE DEAN AIMS AT JAMAICA/YUCATAN AND NERN MEXICO/SRN TX. SEE TPC/NHC ADVISORIES/WARNINGS. UPSTREAM CONDS REMAIN FAVORABLE OVER WRN 3/4 OF THE TROPICAL ATLC/CARRIBEAN/GLFMEX AND TROP EPAC FOR DEVELOPMENT OR SUSTAINING TROP SYSTEMS AS INDICATED BY CHI VERTICAL VELOCITY POTENTIAL CHARTS OF GFS/ECMWF AND GFS/ECMWF OP AND ENSEMBLE 200-850 WIND SHEAR FORECASTS. RECENT OUTSTANDING LONG TERM FORECAST OF DEAN BY GFS IS A HEADS UP TO PAY ATTENTION TO ANY ADDITIONAL LONG TERM FORECASTS BY THIS MODEL ESP WITH CAPE VERDE TYPE SYSTEMS. AT LEAST TWO WAVES ARE NOTED BY GFS ON RECENT RUNS BUT WITH ONLY LIMITED DEVELOPMENT. FIRST COMES INTO THE BAHAMAS LATE NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SECOND COMES INTO THE WINDWARDS. EVER AGRESSIVE CANADIAN DEPICTION OF A STRONGER SOLUTION THAN A TROPICAL WAVE IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE GIVEN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDS INDICATED BY OTHER MODELS ESP WITH THE BAHAMAS SYSTEM LATE NEXT WEEK. SEE TPC DISCUSSIONS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
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