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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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dem05
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Reged:
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength
      Sat Aug 18 2007 01:32 AM

The number 15 express has departed...I'm trying to be a bit humorous here on a Friday Night

Dean reached 15 north and has rode along that same latitude like along freight train on rails. Earlier today, everyone was concerned that Dean seemed alittle north of path, and he may be going elsewhere. Bottom line is this, if you trimline everything, Dean remains on the "Here to Jamaica" path. Don not get overly concerned about a little north of path, and little west of path for thenext 36 hours. This will happen and it means little.

Later on, and beyond Jamaica, the Riddler would have a field day. Being in SW Florida, I still think a visit from Dean is a wildcard. However, to phrase the ever and always confident and and straigh forward NHC Hurricane Specialist Avila at the the 5PMdiscussion, he offerred a blanket statement. Coming from him,this is a more significant message and he posted it at the end of the discussion.

"THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT DEAN IS EXPECTED TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AND ALL INTERESTS IN THE CARIBBEAN
SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN."

I only mention this becuase a lot of folks are stating Alabama westward and etc. Florida Folks, it is not very likely that we will see something from this one, but keep in mind that it is out there and there are some atmospheric dynamics that could create a surprise change in course. If those changes in the forecast philospophy occur, you may need to take action...Just something to keep in mind in case of a surprise...With that said, I do not expect any major surprises at this time, but Saturday night into Sunday may be a day of truth along the Gulf...Everyone will have a much better idea of the upper ridge/trough/ULL interaction by then.

Otherwise, nothing much new to report in my thinking that hasn't already been said.

Edited by dem05 (Sat Aug 18 2007 01:49 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 18 2007 01:32 AM
. * * Dean and the Upper Level Pattern dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hail ChessieStorm   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Hail weather999   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Hail OUSHAWN   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength seabass   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Keeping Quiet NewWatcher   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Keeping Quiet mikethewreck   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Hail scottsvb   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:43 PM
. * * Dean charlottefl   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Hail Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Hail Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Hail MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Hail OUSHAWN   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Hail OUSHAWN   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Hail allan   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Hail jbmusic   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Hail OUSHAWN   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:14 PM
. * * dean and waves to follow HanKFranK   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:12 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models h2ocean   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Hail Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Weakening? danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models tekkrite   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Hail Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:47 PM
. * * Re: Hail Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Hail Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:42 PM
. * * Hail danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update flanewscameraman   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:19 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update charlottefl   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:18 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:12 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: West Texas update craigm   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:58 PM
. * * West Texas update mp3reed   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Dean madmumbler   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:34 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:32 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:22 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:21 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models VolusiaMike   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Hurric   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:48 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models charlottefl   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:44 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models WeatherNLU   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:36 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Frank P   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:29 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models WeatherNLU   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:21 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Frank P   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:11 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models WeatherNLU   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:03 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Rich B   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:19 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models cieldumort   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:53 AM
. * * Re: 00Z Models Doombot!   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:38 AM
. * * 00Z Models Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:26 AM
. * * Re: HDOBs and Vortex Messages Rabbit   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:04 AM
. * * GFDL PA101   Sat Aug 18 2007 06:37 AM
. * * HDOBs and Vortex Messages danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:26 AM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean wxman007   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:17 AM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean wxman007   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:13 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Dean scottsvb   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:08 AM
. * * Re: Dean Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:01 AM
. * * Re: Dean Just watching   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:00 AM
. * * Re: Dean StrmTrckrMiami   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:56 AM
. * * Re: Dean Just watching   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Dean wxman007   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:49 AM
. * * Re: Dean StrmTrckrMiami   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:35 AM
. * * Re: Dean charlottefl   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Miss Christine   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean Beach   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:26 AM
. * * Re: Dean ltpat228   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean Allison   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:25 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:59 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength StrmTrckrMiami   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Mike N   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:48 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength EMS   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:48 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength jbmusic   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:36 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:29 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength GENIE   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:27 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength nc_tropical_wx79   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:12 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength weather999   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength neospaceblue   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:34 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:33 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:12 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength wxman007   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:10 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:00 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Beach   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:55 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength weatherguy08   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:38 AM
. * * Herbert's Box ltpat228   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength DougBaker   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Lee-Delray   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Dean Reaches Category 4 Strength allan   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:29 AM

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