Given this appearance on MW imagery, I don't think an eyewall replacement cycle is likely for at least another 12-18 hours:
It has some of the makings of an outer eyewall, but lacks the closed structure to one, suggesting that a significant eyewall replacement isn't likely in the short term. Plus, Dean is moving toward a region even more favorable from a heat potential standpoint:
If it stays far enough south of Hispaniola, things could get pretty interesting as it nears that warm eddy. Of course, by then, it might be in the midst of an eyewall replacement cycle...only time will tell.
0 registered and 189 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 42777
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center