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HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA. HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. #RAFAEL
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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15.5N 76.7W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 997mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Dean Continues
      Sun Aug 19 2007 02:31 AM

There was really no question on this making a W path...but as each day goes by...you can really only account for up to 3 days in advance for each models reliablity...after that...margin of error increase dramaticly. There was no real threat except TX and that was only cause it was more then 5 days out. You go back 5 days ago and the whole U.S. Coastline was in the error cone and even it may have been a fish storm.

Most Mets and models were thinking MX some hype was over TX but that wasnt and really still isnt out of the question cause its more then 3 days out ...aka 4. Overall expect a west - WNW path to continue till landfall near 20 N or I think just south of there giving Cozumel gusts to near H1 then a Cat 2 remaking landfall sometime on Thurs give or take alittle.

Current concern is Jamaica as it should move about 50-100 miles south of the Island Sunday evening and night.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dean Continues MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 19 2007 02:31 AM
. * * Re: STORM SURGE Lamar-Plant City   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 19 2007 05:23 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues scottsvb   Sun Aug 19 2007 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues OUSHAWN   Sun Aug 19 2007 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Random Chaos   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues weather999   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues dem05   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues oil tracker   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues OUSHAWN   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues lunkerhunter   Sun Aug 19 2007 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:58 PM
. * * Re: STORM SURGE lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues SirCane   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:51 PM
. * * Re: STORM SURGE Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:40 PM
. * * Mean Dean twizted sizter   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? WeatherNut   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:13 PM
. * * Re: STORM SURGE GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues SkyWarn536A   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:07 PM
. * * STORM SURGE lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:49 PM
. * * Re: what's this other one in the mid-Atlantic Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:47 PM
. * * what's this other one in the mid-Atlantic vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? louisianatracker   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? javlin   Sat Aug 18 2007 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? oil tracker   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? JustMe   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Nathan   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Ed in Va   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 09:00 PM
. * * Sea temps lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? weatherguy08   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Recon is in there Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Recon is in there Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Recon is in there Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:19 PM
. * * Forum Rules Reminder RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? StrmTrckrMiami   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Recon is in there Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Recon is in there Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Pressure down to 920 mb neospaceblue   Sat Aug 18 2007 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? OUSHAWN   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? lunkerhunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 06:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Bloodstar   Sat Aug 18 2007 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? weatherguy08   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? belfast-jj   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? weather999   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? charlottefl   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues AmateurJohn   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Nathan   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Nathan   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? StPeteBill   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? bobbutts   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Beaumont, TX   Sat Aug 18 2007 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? Nathan   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Dean v. Louisiana? StPeteBill   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Dean v. Louisiana? weatherguy08   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Nathan   Sat Aug 18 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues SirCane   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Clark   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues scottsvb   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Genesis   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues scottsvb   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues weathernet   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Hugh   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Random Chaos   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues R2RICKSTER   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues scottsvb   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues RideTheLightning   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues pcola   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues Allison   Sat Aug 18 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Dean Continues mr jimmy   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Dean Continues dem05   Sat Aug 18 2007 11:24 AM

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