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Man, looking at the last couple of frames of movement in the IR loop, it looks like the eye is going to miss just to south of Jamaica but I think there is a good chance that the northern eyewall is going to clip Kingston.
I am listening to the live feed and they are already reporting electricity outages (although they say that the energy company has not yet locked down the grid), flooding and many building collapses and wall collapses inculding one at a police station.
God help these people, I know what they are about to go through and hopefully they can pull through! They've been through Gilbert and Ivan and many others, so they know what to expect.

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CNN indicated this morning that power would be cut off at 11am, but perhaps they had bad information. It does indeed appear that Jamaica is beginning to bear the full brunt of the eyewall, based upon the radar and IR loop. You mention that they've been through Gilbert and Ivan and many others, but that's a misnomer. Neither of those storms was a Cat 4 when it crosses Jamaica - they exploded in the NW Caribbean after going by/over Jamaica. This is the closest the island has come to this kind of fury in a long, long, long time from what I have heard (if they've ever had anything like this before).

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Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)

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