Here are the NHC thoughts of the wave that the CMC is developing...
...TROPICAL WAVES... THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 46W IS ADJUSTED AHEAD BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...SURFACE DATA AND SSMI-DERIVED PRECIPITABLE WATER. THIS IS A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE TILTED ALONG 20N49W 15N52W 8N54W. A 101O MB SFC LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N53W. CU LINES DEFINE THE EXPOSED CENTER OF THE LOW. ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND ON THE NORTHERN END OF THE WAVE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 46W-50W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM WEST OF THE LOW. THIS TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT AND INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN MON.
There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard
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