Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
302 (Idalia)
, Major:
302 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia)
Major:
302 (Idalia)
Wthout knowing the author of the models pulling Dean North, you need to determine if they are statistical or numerical. Statistical models show you where Dean could go, on average, compared to other storms in the same vicinity as Dean historically. While numerical models use dynamic real time data I.E. GFDL,NOGAPS, UKMET and the 'tropical suite' amongst others
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