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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
Rem Alberto
ADV#13 10:00 pm EDT
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West
      Mon Aug 20 2007 04:21 AM

We have a new recon.

Looks like another ERC to start fairly soon.

Flight level winds support 125kt / 145mph surface winds. Eyewall is 15NM circular, but we have a double eyewall on the north.

In Microwave, I notice there was some disruption of the convective feeder bands, but the core of the storm is intact. Dean is now entering very warm Caribbean waters with high heat potential, so we can expect recovery from the passage by Jamaica fairly quickly and continued intensification.

-----

991
URNT12 KNHC 200408
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 20/03:42:50Z
B. 17 deg 30 min N
079 deg 00 min W
C. 700 mb 2467 m
D. 105 kt
E. 226 deg 8 nm
F. 342 deg 104 kt
G. 226 deg 016 nm
H. 927 mb
I. 7 C/ 3069 m
J. 15 C/ 3044 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 1104A DEAN OB 16
MAX FL WIND 142 KT NW QUAD 02:25:20 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 145 KT N QUAD 03:48:30 Z
MAX SWS 125 KT N QUAD 03:47:00 Z
DOUBLE EYEWALL STRUCTURE OUTBOUND N QUAD

----

A few great image links for Dean:

http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/gallery/images/shuttle/sts-118/html/s118e07920.html
http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/gallery/images/shuttle/sts-118/html/s118e07919.html
http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/gallery/images/shuttle/sts-118/html/s118e07937.html

[post moved from end of old, broken thread]

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 20 2007 04:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Dean Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean Valandil   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:16 AM
. * * Re: oh man... neospaceblue   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:36 AM
. * * Re: oh man... dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Recon Clark   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:08 AM
. * * oh man... Doombot!   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Dean dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas cieldumort   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:05 AM
. * * Re: Dean StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:38 AM
. * * Re: Dean Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:11 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:06 AM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:51 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:41 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:39 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:38 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:37 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:29 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:28 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:12 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? ChessieStorm   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas txcntrygrl   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:56 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:44 AM
. * * Dean Statistics neospaceblue   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:44 AM
. * * where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? vineyardsaker   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Dean's numbers lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex weather999   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Dean's numbers WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:10 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:59 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex anomaly18   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Psyber   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Cooper   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex charlottefl   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:15 PM
. * * Re: New System 92L CDMOrlando   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex DougBaker   Mon Aug 20 2007 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:33 PM
. * * Dean vortex neospaceblue   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:15 PM
. * * Re: New System Old Sailor   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:10 PM
. * * Re: New System craigm   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:48 PM
. * * Re: New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:38 PM
. * * Re: New System Clark   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:25 PM
. * * Re: New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West scottsvb   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West LisaC   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West LoisCane   Mon Aug 20 2007 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Jorge Nakazawa   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:41 PM
. * * New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas Scott3294   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West weather999   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas lawgator   Mon Aug 20 2007 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf ULL Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West madmumbler   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:16 PM
. * * Gulf ULL lunkerhunter   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West OUSHAWN   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West cieldumort   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West dem05   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West OUSHAWN   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:00 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West oil tracker   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West cieldumort   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:45 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West BTfromAZ   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West dem05   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:19 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 04:21 AM

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