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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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dem05
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Reged:
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Dean
      Tue Aug 21 2007 05:50 AM

Hi there,

92L is likely not forming off of Dean...If anything, the Ridge over Dean and the energy coming from the outflow of Dean is likely strengthing the ULL the is currently south of Puerto Rico. That upper level low is providing strong easterly winds over 92L right now. On the last Water Vapor analysis, I noticed a lot of 30kt wind barbs moving over 92L. 92L is also moving at a decent clip, but these ULL winds are a bit to strong right now.

Over 92L, there is a squeeze playgoingon between the ULL south of PR and the ridge to the WNW of 92L that is helping to steer Dean. That is probably helping to amplify the Upper Level Winds a bit too.

Something to potentially watch for...Dean will weaken over the Yucatan, then weaken significantly over mainland Mexico in 36 hours...At that time, the surface energy being transferred into the Upper Levels of Dean (The ridge over him) will weaken also. As a result, the risdge over dean will likely weaken too. Downstream domino effects will probably mean the ULL south of Puerto Rico will weaken also. If so, the shear will be on the decrease, and that is probably art of why the models...as well as the 10:30PM NHC TWO call for more favorable conditions over 92L in the coming days...

As for tonight...some pop-up T-storms around 92L, but nothing significant...92L has quite a ways to go before being a "Tropical Depression Candidate" right now...Worth watching though as things may change in those respects during the coming days.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 21 2007 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Dean Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean WeatherNLU   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Dean Valandil   Tue Aug 21 2007 09:16 AM
. * * Re: oh man... neospaceblue   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:36 AM
. * * Re: oh man... dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Recon Clark   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:08 AM
. * * oh man... Doombot!   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Dean dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas cieldumort   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:05 AM
. * * Re: Dean StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:04 AM
. * * Re: Dean Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:38 AM
. * * Re: Dean Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:11 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:06 AM
. * * Re: Dean Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:51 AM
. * * Dean danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex dem05   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:41 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:39 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:38 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:37 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:29 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:28 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:12 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? ChessieStorm   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas txcntrygrl   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:21 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:56 AM
. * * Re: where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:44 AM
. * * Dean Statistics neospaceblue   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:44 AM
. * * where are the Yucatan radio/TV/media links? vineyardsaker   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Dean's numbers lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex weather999   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:24 AM
. * * Dean's numbers WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:10 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:59 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex anomaly18   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Psyber   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Cooper   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex lunkerhunter   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Hugh   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex charlottefl   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:15 PM
. * * Re: New System 92L CDMOrlando   Mon Aug 20 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex DougBaker   Mon Aug 20 2007 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Dean vortex Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:33 PM
. * * Dean vortex neospaceblue   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:15 PM
. * * Re: New System Old Sailor   Mon Aug 20 2007 08:10 PM
. * * Re: New System craigm   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:48 PM
. * * Re: New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:38 PM
. * * Re: New System Clark   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:25 PM
. * * Re: New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West scottsvb   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West LisaC   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West LoisCane   Mon Aug 20 2007 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Jorge Nakazawa   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:41 PM
. * * New System danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas Scott3294   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West weather999   Mon Aug 20 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Dean Headed to Yucatan, Watching System East of Bahamas lawgator   Mon Aug 20 2007 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf ULL Psyber   Mon Aug 20 2007 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2007 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West madmumbler   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:28 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:16 PM
. * * Gulf ULL lunkerhunter   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West OUSHAWN   Mon Aug 20 2007 12:08 PM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West cieldumort   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West dem05   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:25 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West OUSHAWN   Mon Aug 20 2007 06:00 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West oil tracker   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:52 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West cieldumort   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:45 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West BTfromAZ   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West dem05   Mon Aug 20 2007 05:19 AM
. * * Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West Random Chaos   Mon Aug 20 2007 04:21 AM

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