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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: 92L gone?
      Tue Aug 21 2007 03:37 PM

Quote:

11:30 AM TWO out, sounds like the NHC is writing the system off. "UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 20
MPH."

I do not agree with the statement about unfavorable winds though because if you look at the attachment, this graphic from CIMSS shows wind shear being quite low and no Saharan Air Layer in place.



As I mentioned in a post on 92L in yesterday's thread, it is caught in a shearing environment to the NE of an upper low centered north of Hispaniola. The outflow from Dean helped accelerate the jet stream to the south of this upper low that largely helped to intensify the upper low. Furthermore, the winds are converging at upper levels over the disturbance due to the counterclockwise flow around the upper low and the clockwise flow around a subtropical ridge to its north. As a result, the odds on 92L are not that high for development.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 21 2007 03:37 PM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run dem05   Wed Aug 22 2007 03:25 AM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run DougBaker   Wed Aug 22 2007 01:20 AM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run scottsvb   Tue Aug 21 2007 10:59 PM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 21 2007 07:16 PM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run Hugh   Tue Aug 21 2007 07:03 PM
. * * Re: dean's terminal run Addicted2Cane   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:34 PM
. * * dean's terminal run HanKFranK   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Clark   Tue Aug 21 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Raymond   Tue Aug 21 2007 04:24 PM
. * * Re: 92L gone? Clark   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Clark   Tue Aug 21 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane syfr   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane weather999   Tue Aug 21 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L gone? Hootowl   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:12 PM
. * * Re: 92L gone? B.C.Francis   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:12 PM
. * * Re: 92L gone? GuppieGrouper   Tue Aug 21 2007 12:04 PM
. * * 92L gone? weatherguy08   Tue Aug 21 2007 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Jorge Nakazawa   Tue Aug 21 2007 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Psyber   Tue Aug 21 2007 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Raymond   Tue Aug 21 2007 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane pcola   Tue Aug 21 2007 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 21 2007 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane Random Chaos   Tue Aug 21 2007 07:15 AM

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