MikeC
Admin
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Tropics Acting Up Again
Tue Aug 28 2007 06:19 PM
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Like usual with late August, you can't leave the tropics alone for a week without something happening. After a few quiet days we have a few things to watch, nothing terribly imminent, however.
#1 is a disturbance East of the Yucatan, which is too close to land to do much, but may have to be watched later Movement is to the west, however, any northward component from due west would bring the center over water - it'll be close. Significant rainfall likely for Honduras, Guatemala, Belize and the Yucatan.
#2 is being tracked as 94L, and may form into a depression over the next few days. This is something to watch as it may affect the Caribbean. Currently it is heading west and the early model predict runs show it going into the eastern and southern Caribbean. But as usual, wait for trends to develop to get a real foothold on it. Currently the models aren't really keen on developing it. If this system persists, however we may have something. Odds are at the moment that it won't amount to much.
#3 is a disturbance Southeast of Wilmington, NC, which is worth watching if the storm persists over the next few days. We need to watch this as the ocean temperatures in the area are plenty warm enough to support a storm. Right now shear and other conditions are keeping it in check.
More to come on all of the above soon.
{{StormLinks|94L|94|6|2007|1|94L (East Atlantic Wave))}} {{StormLinks|95L|95|7|2007|2|95L (Disturbance Southeast of Carolinas))}} {{StormLinks|96L|96|8|2007|3|96L (Another Disturbance Southeast of Carolinas))}} {{StormLinks|97L|97|9|2007|4|97L (Disturbance in Bay of Campeche))}}
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