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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again
      Thu Aug 30 2007 04:02 PM

Well looking at data and sat obs 94L has the best chance of any. It does have a LLC and winds are 25-30kt with higher gusts.. the shower activity is also close to the center. Dry air is inhibiting more development but if T-Storm activity picks up tonight...recon will go in tomorrow and find a Tropical Storm.. but lets see what tonight brings first. 50%

96L just doesnt have the mid-circulation and LLC together..plus its running into a front....I think it will be a Baroclincal low as the midlevel takes over and strengthens while the LLC merges with the front. So no development here. 20%

97L doesnt have a closed circulation and is running into MX before any development will take place 20%

95L weakening elongated trough and a weak llc... 10%

Pretty much high pressures and dry air continues this year. Probably be around labor day before we get a good storm to come off Africa....94L has the only near term shot.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropics Acting Up Again MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 30 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cchsweatherman   Fri Aug 31 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Fri Aug 31 2007 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Fri Aug 31 2007 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 31 2007 12:22 PM
. * * Enter Felix, Stage Right CoconutCandy   Fri Aug 31 2007 12:19 PM
. * * Atlantic Activity charlottefl   Fri Aug 31 2007 04:43 AM
. * * Re: surprise surprise danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 31 2007 03:32 AM
. * * Re: surprise surprise cieldumort   Fri Aug 31 2007 02:45 AM
. * * surprise surprise HanKFranK   Fri Aug 31 2007 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again allan   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Thu Aug 30 2007 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 30 2007 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again scottsvb   Thu Aug 30 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cieldumort   Thu Aug 30 2007 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 30 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 30 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Hugh   Thu Aug 30 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again madmumbler   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 29 2007 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Clark   Wed Aug 29 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 29 2007 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 29 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed in Va   Wed Aug 29 2007 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 29 2007 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again ElizabethH   Wed Aug 29 2007 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Clark   Wed Aug 29 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again NewWatcher01   Wed Aug 29 2007 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Wingman51   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again hurricane80   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: ready Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 29 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: ready Ed in Va   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: ready doug   Wed Aug 29 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Re: ready Clark   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:49 AM
. * * Re: ready Hugh   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:36 AM
. * * Re: ready Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:34 AM
. * * ready HanKFranK   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 29 2007 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again dem05   Wed Aug 29 2007 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cieldumort   Wed Aug 29 2007 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Wed Aug 29 2007 12:27 AM

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