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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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mar32366
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Re: Tropics Acting Up Again
      Thu Aug 30 2007 06:42 PM

94L is becomming better organized this evening as satellite images showing an increase in thunderstorms to the south and east of what looks like a center of low pressure. Upper level winds have dropped to 5-10 knots and actually look to lighten further over the next 48 hours. Water temperatures are at 83-85 degrees and temp. should incease as it gets into the carribean. There is still dry air to its north though this should only hold development down over the next 24 hours as water vapor is showing a slight increase in moisture over the system. 48 hours ago I felt it was a 4 now have increased to a 5-6 range. I would like to see tommorow mournings satellite before I increase higher. Models are still mixed as development goes but the track seems to be a west to w-nw for the next 72 hours. I feel the models hold a ridge to its north a bit to strong as an old frontal boundary and a new front moves off the east coast this weekend. I'm looking for a more w-nw as it enters the carribean and a nw early next week before the ridge rebuilds due to a trough over the middle of the US. Turning it back to w-nw or west in time. So yes I feel if this system developes its a western carribean and gulf storm. Too early to even go this far but its a calculated guess. Just a note if anything does develope off the coast of Florida to NC then this may change the track of 94L. Something to watch as I believe next week will see a increase in activity across the atlantic so the quiet before the storm as they say.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropics Acting Up Again MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 30 2007 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cchsweatherman   Fri Aug 31 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Fri Aug 31 2007 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Fri Aug 31 2007 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 31 2007 08:22 AM
. * * Enter Felix, Stage Right CoconutCandy   Fri Aug 31 2007 08:19 AM
. * * Atlantic Activity charlottefl   Fri Aug 31 2007 12:43 AM
. * * Re: surprise surprise danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:32 PM
. * * Re: surprise surprise cieldumort   Thu Aug 30 2007 10:45 PM
. * * surprise surprise HanKFranK   Thu Aug 30 2007 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again allan   Thu Aug 30 2007 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Thu Aug 30 2007 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 30 2007 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again scottsvb   Thu Aug 30 2007 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cieldumort   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 30 2007 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 30 2007 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again doug   Thu Aug 30 2007 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Hugh   Thu Aug 30 2007 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again madmumbler   Thu Aug 30 2007 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Clark   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 29 2007 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed in Va   Wed Aug 29 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 29 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again ElizabethH   Wed Aug 29 2007 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Clark   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again NewWatcher01   Wed Aug 29 2007 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Wingman51   Wed Aug 29 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again hurricane80   Wed Aug 29 2007 01:26 PM
. * * Re: ready Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 29 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: ready Ed in Va   Wed Aug 29 2007 10:20 AM
. * * Re: ready doug   Wed Aug 29 2007 09:58 AM
. * * Re: ready Clark   Tue Aug 28 2007 10:49 PM
. * * Re: ready Hugh   Tue Aug 28 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: ready Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 28 2007 10:34 PM
. * * ready HanKFranK   Tue Aug 28 2007 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 28 2007 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again dem05   Tue Aug 28 2007 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again cieldumort   Tue Aug 28 2007 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropics Acting Up Again mar32366   Tue Aug 28 2007 08:27 PM

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