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The broad Gulf area is now up to 70/70% for development while the Atlantic area is 10/30% for development. Neither are marked as an invest area yet, but the Gulf may be tagged later today. Texas should watch the Gulf area for a large rain event. Atlantic is FL through the Carolinas depending on how soon (if at all) the system develops, sooner implies further north.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

mar32366
Unregistered

Re: Tropics Acting Up Again
Thu Aug 30 2007 10:42 PM

94L is becomming better organized this evening as satellite images showing an increase in thunderstorms to the south and east of what looks like a center of low pressure. Upper level winds have dropped to 5-10 knots and actually look to lighten further over the next 48 hours. Water temperatures are at 83-85 degrees and temp. should incease as it gets into the carribean. There is still dry air to its north though this should only hold development down over the next 24 hours as water vapor is showing a slight increase in moisture over the system. 48 hours ago I felt it was a 4 now have increased to a 5-6 range. I would like to see tommorow mournings satellite before I increase higher. Models are still mixed as development goes but the track seems to be a west to w-nw for the next 72 hours. I feel the models hold a ridge to its north a bit to strong as an old frontal boundary and a new front moves off the east coast this weekend. I'm looking for a more w-nw as it enters the carribean and a nw early next week before the ridge rebuilds due to a trough over the middle of the US. Turning it back to w-nw or west in time. So yes I feel if this system developes its a western carribean and gulf storm. Too early to even go this far but its a calculated guess. Just a note if anything does develope off the coast of Florida to NC then this may change the track of 94L. Something to watch as I believe next week will see a increase in activity across the atlantic so the quiet before the storm as they say.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropics Acting Up Again	MikeC	Thu Aug 30 2007 10:42 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	cchsweatherman	Fri Aug 31 2007 01:06 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	doug	Fri Aug 31 2007 12:53 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	mar32366	Fri Aug 31 2007 12:31 PM
Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 31 2007 12:22 PM
Enter Felix, Stage Right	CoconutCandy	Fri Aug 31 2007 12:19 PM
Atlantic Activity	charlottefl	Fri Aug 31 2007 04:43 AM
Re: surprise surprise	danielw	Fri Aug 31 2007 03:32 AM
Re: surprise surprise	cieldumort	Fri Aug 31 2007 02:45 AM
surprise surprise	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 31 2007 01:15 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	allan	Thu Aug 30 2007 11:20 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	mar32366	Thu Aug 30 2007 10:42 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	danielw	Thu Aug 30 2007 10:41 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	doug	Thu Aug 30 2007 08:00 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	scottsvb	Thu Aug 30 2007 04:02 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	doug	Thu Aug 30 2007 03:55 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	cieldumort	Thu Aug 30 2007 03:45 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 30 2007 03:21 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	danielw	Thu Aug 30 2007 01:28 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	doug	Thu Aug 30 2007 01:02 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Hugh	Thu Aug 30 2007 12:06 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	madmumbler	Thu Aug 30 2007 11:54 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	danielw	Wed Aug 29 2007 09:54 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Clark	Wed Aug 29 2007 09:51 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	nc_tropical_wx79	Wed Aug 29 2007 09:23 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 29 2007 09:03 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 29 2007 08:54 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Ed Dunham	Wed Aug 29 2007 08:35 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	ElizabethH	Wed Aug 29 2007 07:14 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Clark	Wed Aug 29 2007 06:16 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	NewWatcher01	Wed Aug 29 2007 06:00 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Wingman51	Wed Aug 29 2007 05:50 PM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	hurricane80	Wed Aug 29 2007 05:26 PM
Re: ready	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 29 2007 03:26 PM
Re: ready	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 29 2007 02:20 PM
Re: ready	doug	Wed Aug 29 2007 01:58 PM
Re: ready	Clark	Wed Aug 29 2007 02:49 AM
Re: ready	Hugh	Wed Aug 29 2007 02:36 AM
Re: ready	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 29 2007 02:34 AM
ready	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 29 2007 02:18 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	Ed Dunham	Wed Aug 29 2007 01:36 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	dem05	Wed Aug 29 2007 12:42 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	cieldumort	Wed Aug 29 2007 12:31 AM
Re: Tropics Acting Up Again	mar32366	Wed Aug 29 2007 12:27 AM

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