Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right
Sat Sep 01 2007 08:37 AM
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NRL has just put up a new invest, 98L. Not much info on it now, but the satellite visible is at about 38W 14N.
Edit:
Checking the models, only the MM5 (mm5fsu45a and mm5fsu45b) are picking up on 98L at all, and very weakly.
These same MM5 models are showing Felix taking a track into the Gulf - definitely can't write Felix off as a Central American storm yet.
Also, looking through the models shows something fairly big developing out of HENRIETTE in the pacific just off Baja California in the next couple days. It's not Atlantic, but the track takes it up toward Arizona and California, and all the major models are showing it (MM5, GFS, NOGAPS, and CMC). Edit: Looking through more models, most are taking it into Baja California as a weak hurricane with precip overspeading the southwestern US, but a couple, including the GFDI and SHIPS bring the system up to major hurricane status. Arizona, California, and New Mexico need to watch this one. See http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/
Edited by Random Chaos (Sat Sep 01 2007 09:06 AM)
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