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Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Recon
      Sat Sep 01 2007 01:56 PM

Well, I wonder if there may be one other fly in the ointment. The models have had a fair amount of difficulty in identifying areas of cyclogenesis here. Before yesterday afternoon, none of the major models showed the development of Felix...If 98L ends up becoming TD7, then the models will be building a bit of a recent track record here for not calling systems pre-development...As I really do not see any of the major models making much of 98L right now.

Only being that it is September, it is worth mention that there is another tropical wave gaining thunderstorm activity. That is the wave south of Jamaica. The organization/structure of the system is nothing to write home about. However, it will be curious to see if the thunderstorm activity that has been building in that area continues with some persistance over time. At this time, there seems to be little/no representation of this wave in the models...yet then again, this wave is in the very same favorable waters of the Carribean...and is far enough from Felix to be of note. Don't get me wrong, I'm not calling for any development here, but it would be curious to see if a well defined wave may imply some additional steering effects on Felix from upstream. Time will only tell...

Carribean visible loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 01 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Ferocious Felix Swells to Cat 2 Hurricane dem05   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:46 AM
. * * 'Visualizing' a Ridge of High Pressure CoconutCandy   Sun Sep 02 2007 02:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean cieldumort   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Recon typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Recon flahurricane   Sat Sep 01 2007 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Recon Texas Cane Tracker   Sat Sep 01 2007 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 01 2007 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Recon BillD   Sat Sep 01 2007 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 01 2007 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Recon MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2007 09:50 PM
. * * Felix Quickly Attains Hurricane Strength CoconutCandy   Sat Sep 01 2007 09:38 PM
. * * Re: HRD Recon Clark   Sat Sep 01 2007 08:43 PM
. * * Re: HRD Recon punkyg   Sat Sep 01 2007 08:30 PM
. * * Re: HRD Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2007 07:36 PM
. * * HRD Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2007 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean weather999   Sat Sep 01 2007 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean Clark   Sat Sep 01 2007 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 01 2007 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Recon dem05   Sat Sep 01 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Recon craigm   Sat Sep 01 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Recon Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 01 2007 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Recon hurricaneguy   Sat Sep 01 2007 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Recon Beaumont, TX   Sat Sep 01 2007 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Recon stevie   Sat Sep 01 2007 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Recon dem05   Sat Sep 01 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Recon BillD   Sat Sep 01 2007 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Recon punkyg   Sat Sep 01 2007 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 01 2007 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Recon Random Chaos   Sat Sep 01 2007 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Felix forms in Southeastern Caribbean nicaragua   Sat Sep 01 2007 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Recon Beaumont, TX   Sat Sep 01 2007 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right Beaumont, TX   Sat Sep 01 2007 10:30 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2007 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Enter Felix, Stage Right Random Chaos   Sat Sep 01 2007 08:37 AM
. * * Enter Felix, Stage Right CoconutCandy   Sat Sep 01 2007 07:55 AM

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