Quote: Ok, we have a new recon. Note the "stadium effect" comment:
Can anyone confirm my read of the eyewall dropsonde? Looks to me like it might be category 4 from the dropesonde. I don't have a decoding app, so I'm manually reading it and might be reading the wrong lines.
Yes, I just placed an update on the Main Page...
132kts at 700mb level extrapolates to approximately 120kts at the surface, or close to 135mph doing the standard conversions. That is Category 4. I have/had to also mention that NHC has not formally declared this a Cat 4, but the numbers are real -- it is highly likely they will either mention this via an intermediate statement, or they will upgrade this officially at 5pm.
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