No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
20 (Milton)
, Major:
20 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 20 (Milton)
Major:
20 (Milton)
Quote: I thought this was interesting in the 5pm NHC disccusion.
"THIS CORRESPONDS TO A FALL IN CENTRAL PRESSURE AT A RATE OF 3.4 MB PER HOUR OVER THE PAST 7 HOURS OR SO...WHICH IS ONE OF THE MORE RAPID DEEPENING RATES WE HAVE OBSERVED. "
Can someone remember a recent hurricane strengthening as quickly or with a similar rate of pressure drop?
Hurricane Wilma set the gold standard for rapid intensification back in 2005, dropping around 100 mb in 24 hours and over 80 mb in 12 hours. I don't know if we will ever see anything like that again soon, but like Wilma at that time, Felix is a very compact storm and it could become quite intense before bottoming out. The jury is still out on the eventual track, but it looks like either Mexico or Central America is going to take another hard hit in a few days.
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