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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

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Posts: 1710

Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia
Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM

As HF alluded to, it's all a question of shear with the feature off of Georgia. If it doesn't get attacked by it and/or the dry, descending air that comes with it, that's our next region of concern as all of the other ingredients in place look quite favorable for development. Until the steering currents become better defined, it's all speculation on an eventual track.

98L is status quo but still there as it heads west. NHC didn't run the 12z late or 18z early models on it today, so they may not be thinking much of it any longer, but it's got a shot to do something as it passes 50W. It was at 14N yesterday, but the SW motion HF also alluded to now has it closer to 11N; that makes a significant difference for down the road *if* something were to come of it. We'll see.

Felix? It's approaching the warm core oceanic eddy mentioned in the 5p NHC discussion and as I hinted at last night. The most recent microwave imager pass I have -- from about 2p ET -- suggests a well-defined inner core without significant outer banding or signs of an outer eyewall trying to form. Granted, the resolution of that imager is not great, but it still does not give any hints at any oncoming eyewall cycle. It will be very, very intriguing to see what recon finds this evening in terms of intensity. Honduras looks to take a sideswipe from this one while Belize or the southern Quintana Roo area of the Yucatan looks to take the full brunt of a landfall in 3ish days.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Category FIVE Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	MikeC	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM
Re: Vortex	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 05:18 PM
Re: Vortex	scottsvb	Mon Sep 03 2007 11:32 AM
Re: Vortex	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Sep 03 2007 10:42 AM
Re: Vortex	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 10:13 AM
Re: Vortex	doug	Mon Sep 03 2007 09:57 AM
Re: Vortex	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 03 2007 08:35 AM
Re: Vortex	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 08:30 AM
Re: Vortex	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 03 2007 08:21 AM
Re: Vortex	dem05	Mon Sep 03 2007 04:56 AM
Re: Vortex	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 03 2007 03:04 AM
Re: Vortex	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 03 2007 02:16 AM
Vortex	danielw	Mon Sep 03 2007 02:10 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	Storm Hunter	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:53 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	ltpat228	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:51 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:44 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:40 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:31 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	typhoon_tip	Mon Sep 03 2007 01:03 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	Random Chaos	Mon Sep 03 2007 12:55 AM
Re: NHC Discussion	LoisCane	Mon Sep 03 2007 12:11 AM
NHC Discussion	danielw	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:44 PM
Area off the GA Coast	danielw	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:41 PM
Re: Felix	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:40 PM
Re: Felix	Clark	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:32 PM
Re: Felix	JY381	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:27 PM
Re: Felix	flahurricane	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:17 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 11:02 PM
Re: Felix	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:55 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:50 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	lunkerhunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:48 PM
Re: dvorak keeps changing	weather999	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:48 PM
Re: Felix	Clark	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:47 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:38 PM
Felix	danielw	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:37 PM
Re: dvorak keeps changing	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:36 PM
dvorak keeps changing	LoisCane	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:29 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:14 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	LoisCane	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:13 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:03 PM
annular	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:02 PM
Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	weather999	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:00 PM
Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED!	CoconutCandy	Sun Sep 02 2007 09:33 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	LoisCane	Sun Sep 02 2007 09:29 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 09:09 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Lysis	Sun Sep 02 2007 09:08 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:56 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	punkyg	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:47 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	MikeC	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:45 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:35 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:32 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:32 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:11 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	lunkerhunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:04 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	flahurricane	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:03 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	weather999	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:02 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Sep 02 2007 07:57 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	LoisCane	Sun Sep 02 2007 07:23 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 02 2007 07:21 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	nc_tropical_wx79	Sun Sep 02 2007 07:18 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	weatherguy08	Sun Sep 02 2007 07:06 PM
Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	allan	Sun Sep 02 2007 06:42 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	weatherguy08	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Clark	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	HanKFranK	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:09 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Thunderbird12	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:05 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	allan	Sun Sep 02 2007 05:03 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	flahurricane	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:53 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	DougBaker	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:48 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:31 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:22 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	StrmTrckrMiami	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:21 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	danielw	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:19 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Lee-Delray	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:18 PM
Re: what about the system off the Georgia coast?	StrmTrckrMiami	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:17 PM
Re: what about the system off the Georgia coast?	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:17 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Climate Aficionado	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:13 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Raymond	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:11 PM
what about the system off the Georgia coast?	vineyardsaker	Sun Sep 02 2007 04:05 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	StrmTrckrMiami	Sun Sep 02 2007 03:42 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 03:38 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 02 2007 03:19 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 02 2007 03:05 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	typhoon_tip	Sun Sep 02 2007 01:54 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 02 2007 01:54 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	flhurricane	Sun Sep 02 2007 01:51 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	cieldumort	Sun Sep 02 2007 01:49 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 02 2007 01:03 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia	Raymond	Sun Sep 02 2007 12:54 PM
Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane	scottsvb	Sun Sep 02 2007 12:23 PM
Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane	Ron Basso	Sun Sep 02 2007 12:04 PM
Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane	Beaumont, TX	Sun Sep 02 2007 10:26 AM
Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane	CoconutCandy	Sun Sep 02 2007 08:00 AM

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