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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 293 (Idalia) , Major: 293 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 293 (Idalia) Major: 293 (Idalia)
21.5N 92.8W
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Pres: 999mb
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N at 6 mph
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: Why so quiet??
      Mon Jun 17 2002 05:42 PM

I agree with you on that Rich. There is even an 'eye-type' appearance in the visible. There is a good closeup of it on Fox8live.com - click on "weather" then click on Visible Sattelite and you can see the feature - whatever it is - pretty well.

Kevin - it looks like crap, but I don't think it's the wave that's necessarily going to develop. It's only going to act as a catalyst or activating mechanism for whatever else is down there. There is already some type of low down there (smack in the middle of the Gulf) kicking off storms, so if the east winds do pile up more moisture, then a wave comes in, there is at least a shot for some strong thunderstorms or convective complex to develop in that region.

ShawnS,

Yeah. I know how you feel. I hate his ego and his politics, but he does point out interesting phenomina and goes the extra mile to present it to the public for free - things like model bias and potential errors with the MRF, teleconnections and possible implications for the US, etc. So I watch all his videos during tropical season and read his column FWIW. I learn things pretty often, so I'm not going to knock him. Anyway, I'd guess the chance of something happening down there would be about 70% by week's end and maybe 15% that something actually gets categorized as tropical. He did get the pattern that we're in right more than 10 days ago, so whether or not something happens remains to be seen. Anyway, it's probably going to mean some wet weather for someone between the FL/AL line and the NE TX Gulf Coast when it's all said and done assuming another trof split doesn't send the energy down to SE Mexico.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Stream CFHCAdministrator Mon Jun 17 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream/Question Cocoa Beach   Thu Jun 20 2002 12:49 AM
. * * 88/23 Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 12:46 PM
. * * Rain Cometh! Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Weather Witch   Mon Jun 17 2002 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Anonymous   Wed Jun 19 2002 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Anonymous   Wed Jun 19 2002 12:42 AM
. * * Heavy rains in central Florida Joe   Mon Jun 17 2002 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Heavy rains in central Florida Rad   Tue Jun 18 2002 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream BabyCat   Sat Jun 15 2002 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Jeanine   Sun Jun 16 2002 12:28 PM
. * * Heavy Rain for central Florida early next week Joe   Sun Jun 16 2002 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Heavy Rain for central Florida early next week Kevin   Sun Jun 16 2002 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Heavy Rain for central Florida early next week Joe   Sun Jun 16 2002 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Heavy Rain for central Florida early next week Greyman   Sun Jun 16 2002 07:54 PM
. * * Why so quiet?? Anonymous   Mon Jun 17 2002 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Anonymous   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Frank P   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Anonymous   Mon Jun 17 2002 06:17 PM
. * * Florida Rains Joe   Mon Jun 17 2002 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rains Steve   Mon Jun 17 2002 08:08 PM
. * * hey steve GaryC   Tue Jun 18 2002 02:10 PM
. * * Re: hey steve Steve   Tue Jun 18 2002 03:08 PM
. * * Severe morning Joe   Tue Jun 18 2002 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Severe morning Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Severe morning ShawnS   Tue Jun 18 2002 05:09 PM
. * * Hey Shawn... Steve   Tue Jun 18 2002 05:45 PM
. * * Steve ShawnS   Tue Jun 18 2002 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Steve Anonymous   Wed Jun 19 2002 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Steve Anonymous   Wed Jun 19 2002 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Steve Frank P   Wed Jun 19 2002 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Steve Anonymous   Wed Jun 19 2002 03:08 AM
. * * Re: Steve Rad   Wed Jun 19 2002 02:25 AM
. * * 18 june Anonymous (HF)   Wed Jun 19 2002 03:40 AM
. * * pointers Anonymous (HF)   Wed Jun 19 2002 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Severe morning Joe   Tue Jun 18 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rains Anonymous   Mon Jun 17 2002 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Rich B   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Steve   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 02:28 PM
. * * Is that you Doug? Steve   Tue Jun 18 2002 05:50 PM
. * * This is the year Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 07:18 PM
. * * Re: This is the year Greyman   Tue Jun 18 2002 10:36 PM
. * * Re: This is the year Anonymous   Tue Jun 18 2002 10:56 PM
. * * Re: This is the year Steve   Tue Jun 18 2002 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Kevin   Mon Jun 17 2002 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Steve   Mon Jun 17 2002 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? ShawnS   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Why so quiet?? Kevin   Mon Jun 17 2002 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Anonymous   Sat Jun 15 2002 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Greyman   Sat Jun 15 2002 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream BabyCat   Sat Jun 15 2002 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Greyman   Sat Jun 15 2002 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream BabyCat   Sat Jun 15 2002 09:16 PM
. * * A little practice for the season for you lucky... Anonymous   Sun Jun 16 2002 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Alex K   Fri Jun 14 2002 07:22 PM
. * * 530pm TWO Rich B   Fri Jun 14 2002 10:50 PM
. * * Re: 530pm TWO Anonymous   Fri Jun 14 2002 10:57 PM
. * * South Florida Report Anonymous   Sat Jun 15 2002 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Weather Witch   Fri Jun 14 2002 03:46 PM
. * * convergence Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jun 14 2002 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Rich B   Fri Jun 14 2002 04:42 PM
. * * UH-OH http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ for sale Weather Witch   Fri Jun 14 2002 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Weather Witch   Fri Jun 14 2002 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream HURRICANELONNY   Fri Jun 14 2002 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Weather Witch   Fri Jun 14 2002 12:09 PM
. * * Try this one... Steve   Fri Jun 14 2002 02:28 PM
. * * Wow!!!! GaryC   Fri Jun 14 2002 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Anonymous   Thu Jun 13 2002 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Greyman   Thu Jun 13 2002 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Rad   Fri Jun 14 2002 01:56 AM
. * * John Hope MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 13 2002 06:10 PM
. * * Re: John Hope Frank P   Thu Jun 13 2002 06:26 PM
. * * Re: John Hope Carl   Thu Jun 13 2002 08:43 PM
. * * Re: John Hope Greyman   Thu Jun 13 2002 08:51 PM
. * * John Hope Joe   Thu Jun 13 2002 03:53 PM
. * * Re: John Hope GaryC   Thu Jun 13 2002 04:09 PM
. * * Re: John Hope Steve   Thu Jun 13 2002 06:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Stream Anonymous   Thu Jun 13 2002 03:20 PM

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